NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	3.4 [1064]		MVP	Anthony Goldwire (DEN): +3.8%
Denver Nuggets	72		Comeback	1.0 [1225]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -9.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0.00	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	12	44%	0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.20	0.00	0.20	13	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	41%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	63%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	87%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	16	51%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	3	25%	0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	10%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	28.9	15.5	28.4	2.4	23.7	123.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.2%

CHI +5.3%

CHI +19.8%

DEN -3.2%

CHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	15.6	113.3	75.0	102.5
season	16.2	16.2		105.8	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		109.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	12.0	15.2	13.7	14.4
DEN	15.7	17.5	14.2	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	62	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	21	-3	14.7	13.8	0.95	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Dennis Rodman	61	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	24	-9	15.0	13.4	1.56	15.5	15.1	0.35
Ron Harper	64	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	23	-7	14.5	14.2	0.22	15.4	15.2	0.15
Michael Jordan	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	16	7	16.0	11.2	4.77	15.4	15.2	0.22
Luc Longley	67	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.40	25	14	11	16.0	10.8	5.18	15.6	14.8	0.81
Jason Caffey	51	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.46	20	19	1	12.8	16.1	-3.24	15.8	14.8	1.00
Randy Brown	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.65	25	14	11	13.3	15.2	-1.88	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Jud Buechler	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.41	16	23	-7	11.1	15.4	-4.31	15.4	15.3	0.16
Scott Burrell	37	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.66	24	15	9	13.4	15.0	-1.56	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Joe Kleine	15	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	26	-13	11.9	14.8	-2.96	13.4	15.7	-2.26

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Priest Lauderdale	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-30	21	10.8	16.0	-5.13	11.7	14.7	-2.99
Kiwane Garris	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-30	21	10.8	16.0	-5.13	11.7	14.7	-2.99
Danny Fortson	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.28	-10	-29	19	14.0	16.2	-2.15	12.9	15.3	-2.38
Joe Wolf	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-38	37	19.2	14.8	4.39	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Eric Washington	61	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.62	-26	-13	-13	14.7	16.4	-1.65	14.5	14.2	0.31
Tony Battie	45	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.47	-22	-17	-5	14.4	16.2	-1.78	12.5	16.2	-3.64
Anthony Goldwire	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-24	9	15.3	15.4	-0.09	14.7	14.0	0.64
Johnny Newman	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-19	-1	15.8	14.0	1.84	14.7	13.4	1.26
Dean Garrett	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	-12	-15	16.2	13.8	2.38	15.6	12.5	3.07
LaPhonso Ellis	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.33	-28	-11	-17	16.2	14.0	2.15	15.3	12.9	2.38
Bobby Jackson	58	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.29	-28	-11	-17	16.3	13.9	2.41	15.1	13.4	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, CLE 65	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ATL 109, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
GSW 132, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%