NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	2.3 [1211]		MVP	Greg Foster (UTA): +4.6%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.0 [1203]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -10.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	65%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.02	2	-0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	67%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	22%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	1	67%	-0.00	4	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	14	86%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	14	52%	-0.02	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.07	18	39%	-0.05	3	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	30.0	14.6	27.3	2.5	29.6	130.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.8%

UTA +5.7%

GSW -2.1%

UTA +12.4%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.6	118.6	88.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		108.1	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	12.4	14.4	15.5	14.2
GSW	15.3	16.4	15.0	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	45	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.43	31	-4	35	14.0	14.4	-0.32	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Karl Malone	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.34	26	1	25	14.0	14.5	-0.48	15.0	15.4	-0.39
John Stockton	41	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	4	19	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.7	14.7	0.95
Jeff Hornacek	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.40	23	4	19	14.5	13.9	0.56	15.2	15.1	0.04
Adam Keefe	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.40	23	4	19	14.7	13.7	0.96	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Bryon Russell	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	23	-19	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Shandon Anderson	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	23	-19	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Howard Eisley	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	14	-1	13.6	14.6	-1.00	15.8	14.8	0.95
Antoine Carr	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	26	-25	14.5	14.0	0.48	15.4	15.0	0.39
Greg Foster	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	36	-45	14.1	14.3	-0.22	15.7	14.6	1.11
Chris Morris	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	15.3	14.2	1.15	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Jacque Vaughn	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	36	-45	14.7	14.1	0.62	12.8	15.7	-2.94

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	41.0	14.9	26.10	0.0	14.2	-14.22
Dickey Simpkins	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-32	37	13.9	15.6	-1.66	15.5	13.8	1.71
Duane Ferrell	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-26	25	14.4	15.8	-1.44	14.1	14.3	-0.18
David Vaughn	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-20	13	13.0	15.9	-2.85	16.5	13.5	3.03
Erick Dampier	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.40	-19	-8	-11	17.5	14.3	3.22	15.1	13.9	1.20
Bimbo Coles	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-20	13	18.7	14.1	4.58	14.7	14.1	0.63
Adonal Foyle	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-14	1	14.9	15.3	-0.48	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Donyell Marshall	42	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.21	-16	-11	-5	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.2	13.4	1.73
Todd Fuller	64	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-20	13	14.3	16.7	-2.45	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Tony Delk	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.33	-24	-3	-21	14.3	17.6	-3.28	13.5	16.4	-2.94
Joe Smith	68	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	-5	-17	15.9	13.6	2.30	13.6	15.4	-1.73
Brian Shaw	67	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	-3	-21	15.4	14.7	0.61	14.5	13.7	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 112, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
UTA 103, MEM 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
MIN 104, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%