NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	6.5 [470]		MVP	Dean Garrett (DEN): +12.3%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	1.8 [355]		LVP	A.C. Green (DAL): -14.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.04	0.04	26	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.01	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.06	-0.02	10	18%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.14
Khalid Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.06	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
A.C. Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	60%	0.12	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	7	93%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Harold Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.06	0.03	19	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	54%	-0.01	4	-0.10	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	20.4	15.5	28.4	2.6	25.0	115.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +56.2%

DAL -14.0%

DEN +26.0%

DAL -17.4%

DAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	103.2	113.4	102.5
season	15.8	16.2		98.3	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	18.1	16.0	11.8	15.2
DEN	17.2	12.7	14.1	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid Reeves	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-19	26	14.7	15.5	-0.77	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Eric Riley	19	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-15	18	15.5	15.1	0.41	19.5	13.6	5.92
Chris Anstey	5	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-12	12	15.0	15.2	-0.21	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Shawn Bradley	50	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Dennis Scott	70	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.8	13.5	2.28	15.4	13.4	1.98
A.C. Green	58	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	14.4	16.5	-2.06	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Hubert Davis	94	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	0	-12	15.1	24.0	-8.89	14.9	11.5	3.37
Michael Finley	89	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	0	-12	15.0	17.8	-2.81	14.7	17.4	-2.74
Erick Strickland	56	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	4	-20	16.1	13.9	2.17	15.2	14.2	1.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	79	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-4	20	14.5	16.3	-1.81	15.2	15.1	0.18
LaPhonso Ellis	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-2	16	15.6	13.3	2.32	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Anthony Goldwire	60	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-4	20	13.0	17.8	-4.82	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Johnny Newman	68	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-1	14	14.0	16.6	-2.54	14.2	17.4	-3.22
Dean Garrett	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	6	0	16.4	12.1	4.24	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Tony Battie	52	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.28	16.8	13.2	3.64
Danny Fortson	17	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	9	-6	14.7	14.8	-0.12	17.4	14.7	2.69
Harold Ellis	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	12	-12	13.9	14.9	-1.02	16.4	15.0	1.37
Joe Wolf	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	16	-20	14.8	14.8	0.01	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Eric Washington	50	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	20	-28	16.5	13.0	3.54	15.5	14.9	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.1%