NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	7.8 [242]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +22.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	2.4 [566]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -27.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	17	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.10
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	12	38%	-0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Joe Dumars	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.00	11	44%	-0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.21,-0.28	-0.07	-0.20	0.00	18	44%	-0.20	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.07	0.04	14	86%	0.34	2	-0.12	9	89%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.13	-0.02	17	67%	0.29	7	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.12	-0.00	8	12%	-0.14	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.3	16.4	21.3	2.3	36.8	129.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +86.8%

DET -15.3%

CLE +13.3%

DET -37.3%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	96.7	98.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		102.8	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		97.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.5	12.9	17.0	14.9	15.8
CLE	13.4	18.4	14.3	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	29	29	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-10	18	15.1	16.2	-1.11	18.0	14.8	3.14
Don Reid	9	9	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-5	8	15.0	15.9	-0.91	17.9	15.6	2.29
Rick Mahorn	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	1	-4	14.0	16.1	-2.13	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Eric Montross	34	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	4	-10	18.0	14.5	3.52	13.2	17.3	-4.11
Joe Dumars	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	1	-4	16.1	15.5	0.62	14.6	17.4	-2.77
Lindsey Hunter	56	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.5	18.0	-3.49	17.0	13.8	3.19
Jerry Stackhouse	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	4	-10	16.7	14.0	2.68	14.9	17.8	-2.95
Grant Hill	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	15.6	17.6	-2.00	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Jerome Williams	49	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.51	2	-4	6	15.4	16.3	-0.90	17.8	13.3	4.41
Bison Dele	71	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.5	16.9	-1.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-9	20	15.1	17.5	-2.36	16.3	14.7	1.64
Brevin Knight	68	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-5	12	15.3	17.3	-2.04	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Shawn Kemp	75	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	-4	10	15.5	17.6	-2.11	15.9	15.3	0.67
Wesley Person	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-5	12	15.2	18.7	-3.47	15.9	15.3	0.59
Cedric Henderson	62	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-5	12	15.0	17.7	-2.74	15.7	16.1	-0.46
Vitaly Potapenko	18	17	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.07	0	2	-2	17.8	15.3	2.50	17.5	15.4	2.02
Bob Sura	31	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	12	-22	16.8	15.3	1.49	14.7	16.4	-1.68
Scott Brooks	23	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	7	-12	17.3	15.3	2.04	16.4	15.6	0.79
Danny Ferry	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	7	-12	18.2	15.2	3.05	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Henry James	19	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	10	-18	18.9	15.0	3.88	15.9	15.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	92.3%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
CHH 88, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,1	92.1%