NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	88		Excitement	7.7 [281]		MVP	Brad Lohaus (TOR): +4.5%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	2.0 [670]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -23.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dell Curry	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	7	39%	-0.03	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	5	31%	-0.17	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.14
Glen Rice	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.23	-0.00	-0.21	0.02	19	58%	-0.02	3	-0.20	12	83%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Lohaus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	4	67%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.06
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	17	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	18	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	18	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	27%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	13	33%	-0.14	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	27.6	15.3	22.4	2.4	42.3	136.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -12.1%

TOR +15.8%

TOR +13.6%

TOR +30.3%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	15.6	97.8	101.1	104.4
season	15.7	16.1		108.0	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.0		105.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.4	12.6	18.9	12.3	14.3
TOR	15.0	15.6	18.9	21.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	46	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-14	24	12.1	16.5	-4.39	16.4	18.7	-2.31
Malik Rose	12	13	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-8	12	13.7	14.4	-0.71	18.1	17.4	0.64
Tony Delk	13	14	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-8	12	12.7	14.5	-1.85	16.9	17.6	-0.71
Matt Geiger	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	12.2	15.0	-2.83	16.4	17.9	-1.51
Muggsy Bogues	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-1	-2	17.2	13.6	3.61	19.1	17.2	1.84
Tony Smith	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-4	4	14.8	14.2	0.57	19.3	17.2	2.08
Anthony Goldwire	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-3	2	13.4	16.1	-2.74	16.8	19.2	-2.41
Vlade Divac	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.2	11.7	3.50	18.2	15.8	2.33
Anthony Mason	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	4	-12	14.5	12.7	1.85	17.6	16.9	0.71
Glen Rice	78	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	4	-12	14.4	13.7	0.71	17.4	18.1	-0.64
Dell Curry	45	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	10	-24	16.2	12.4	3.80	18.4	16.7	1.62

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	70	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-8	20	17.0	19.3	-2.35	14.6	12.9	1.75
Popeye Jones	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-5	14	18.1	14.3	3.76	14.4	13.5	0.86
Walt Williams	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	17.9	16.5	1.34	15.0	12.2	2.83
Doug Christie	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	17.7	16.6	1.08	15.4	9.2	6.11
Damon Stoudamire	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	1	2	18.5	15.3	3.17	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Hubert Davis	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	5	-6	17.3	17.7	-0.36	11.2	16.4	-5.15
Donald Whiteside	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	2	0	14.5	19.0	-4.52	14.6	14.1	0.40
Brad Lohaus	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	9	-14	14.3	18.1	-3.76	13.5	14.4	-0.86
Acie Earl	21	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	12	-20	19.3	17.0	2.35	12.9	14.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.92,1	93.3%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
BOS 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1	92.3%