NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Excitement	6.9 [395]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +10.9%
Golden State Warriors	80		Comeback	2.1 [426]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -21.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
George Lynch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.15	0.07	-0.05	7	19%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.13	12	83%	0.03
Lee Mayberry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	42%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	19	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.08
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	16	43%	0.01	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	14	38%	-0.21	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	1.8	29.1	14.7	26.3	1.6	38.0	131.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +53.2%

VAN +19.4%

GSW -16.5%

GSW -6.6%

VAN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	GSW	NBA	VAN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	96.7	86.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.6		101.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	12.8	15.8	15.0	15.9	14.9
GSW	17.2	16.2	17.6	14.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	63	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-5	18	13.3	18.3	-5.00	16.8	15.7	1.08
Otis Thorpe	58	60	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-3	14	13.5	17.3	-3.79	16.6	16.2	0.43
Antonio Daniels	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	13.5	18.7	-5.29	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	0	8	14.1	18.3	-4.23	15.8	18.9	-3.12
Bryant Reeves	69	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	14.6	15.7	-1.15	17.3	13.8	3.50
Pete Chilcutt	39	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	16.8	13.4	3.48	16.0	16.8	-0.74
Tony Massenburg	10	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	14.7	14.9	-0.18	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Lee Mayberry	24	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	10	-12	18.7	13.5	5.29	17.3	16.1	1.16
Blue Edwards	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	13	-18	18.3	13.3	5.00	15.7	16.8	-1.08
George Lynch	23	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	15	-22	18.4	13.7	4.73	17.0	16.3	0.70

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	58	59	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-16	24	17.1	15.4	1.65	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Adonal Foyle	32	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-9	10	15.3	17.0	-1.75	16.4	14.1	2.23
Duane Ferrell	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-7	6	14.6	16.6	-2.01	19.2	14.6	4.61
Erick Dampier	76	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-11	14	16.1	17.7	-1.56	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Bimbo Coles	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	17.6	14.1	3.45	15.1	14.4	0.70
Muggsy Bogues	31	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	14.1	17.6	-3.45	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Felton Spencer	17	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	17.7	16.1	1.56	15.6	14.7	0.87
Tony Delk	47	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	14.6	18.3	-3.67	16.9	12.9	4.02
Donyell Marshall	63	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	3	-14	16.7	15.8	0.93	14.1	16.7	-2.68
Joe Smith	72	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.39	-13	5	-18	17.5	12.6	4.92	13.7	18.9	-5.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.19,0.16,0.17,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 124, CLE 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.01,0	92.1%
SEA 98, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	92.0%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	91.8%