NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	2.7 [1168]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +7.1%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	1.1 [987]		LVP	Emanual Davis (HOU): -6.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	14	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	58%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	9	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	55%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.07	7	87%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Charles Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.01	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	6	35%	-0.03	3	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.6	25.2	16.6	24.5	1.8	26.5	118.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.8%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +4.8%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.6	120.7	91.3	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		108.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	14.8	14.0	15.4	15.4
HOU	15.9	15.2	15.4	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	8	11	15.7	14.9	0.76	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Jeff Hornacek	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	8	11	15.6	15.1	0.54	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Adam Keefe	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	10	7	15.7	15.0	0.65	15.6	16.3	-0.65
John Stockton	39	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.33	22	5	17	15.2	15.5	-0.33	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Karl Malone	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	15	-3	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Antoine Carr	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	12	3	14.2	16.0	-1.80	17.1	15.3	1.73
Howard Eisley	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	24	-21	15.6	15.2	0.39	16.4	15.4	0.96
Shandon Anderson	55	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	19	-11	14.9	16.1	-1.24	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Bryon Russell	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.16	10	17	-7	15.4	15.4	-0.00	16.8	15.4	1.37
Greg Foster	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	20	-13	15.8	15.2	0.58	17.3	15.4	1.91
Chris Morris	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.8	15.7	-2.90	14.0	16.2	-2.20
Jacque Vaughn	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.7	16.0	-1.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Stephens	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	15.0	16.1	-1.09	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Charles Jones	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-21	15	15.1	16.1	-0.98	17.1	15.0	2.07
Matt Bullard	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-22	17	16.9	15.4	1.52	15.3	15.4	-0.17
Eddie Johnson	47	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-25	23	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.5	15.2	0.33
Emanual Davis	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-19	11	16.7	15.3	1.48	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Brent Price	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-11	-5	15.0	16.6	-1.61	15.7	15.1	0.63
Mario Elie	64	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-10	-7	16.1	15.5	0.68	15.7	14.6	1.09
Rodrick Rhodes	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.47	-29	2	-31	15.5	16.8	-1.28	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Othella Harrington	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.41	-29	2	-31	15.5	17.8	-2.29	15.4	15.3	0.09
Kevin Willis	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-8	-11	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.2	15.8	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%