NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	7.5 [295]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +17.1%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	1.2 [844]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -34.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	24	52%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14	0.19	-0.04	0.01	15	77%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	12	62%	0.19	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Grant Hill	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34	-0.22	-0.14	-0.02	15	30%	-0.25	4	-0.09	7	43%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	8	89%	0.26	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	20	51%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	10	48%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	41%	0.02	3	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.14	-0.01	17	31%	-0.20	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	24.8	15.8	23.6	2.5	32.4	124.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +16.2%

TOR -5.2%

DET +13.8%

DET +20.4%

DET +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	18.5	15.6	107.1	106.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.5		102.8	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.9		108.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.8	13.8	13.8	18.7	15.8
TOR	20.1	20.5	15.0	19.2	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bison Dele	65	64	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.32	19	-16	35	15.8	16.1	-0.35	18.6	18.1	0.56
Joe Dumars	74	72	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.34	18	-15	33	16.0	14.8	1.17	18.6	17.5	1.18
Grant Long	54	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-10	23	16.3	15.0	1.26	19.2	17.1	2.02
Jerry Stackhouse	77	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	15.7	17.2	-1.56	18.4	18.9	-0.43
Grant Hill	76	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	7	-11	15.9	15.6	0.31	18.6	18.0	0.56
Malik Sealy	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	9	-15	14.8	16.3	-1.55	17.3	19.1	-1.75
Charles O'Bannon	6	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	15.5	15.9	-0.36	15.2	18.7	-3.49
Eric Montross	14	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	15.6	15.9	-0.23	19.3	18.3	0.97
Jerome Williams	32	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.11	-17	20	-37	16.2	15.6	0.56	17.8	18.9	-1.12

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-1	-1	20.2	18.2	2.07	15.2	16.0	-0.80
John Wallace	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	0	-3	18.1	18.7	-0.58	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Zan Tabak	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-10	17	18.9	18.1	0.86	18.0	13.8	4.23
Shawn Respert	35	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-8	13	16.4	20.0	-3.55	16.5	15.3	1.25
Reggie Slater	49	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	19.3	17.2	2.11	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Oliver Miller	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	4	-11	17.9	19.8	-1.93	15.1	17.2	-2.13
Tracy McGrady	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	11	-25	19.9	17.5	2.42	14.4	16.8	-2.47
Doug Christie	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-4	5	18.2	22.4	-4.17	16.1	11.8	4.29
Damon Stoudamire	78	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	2	-7	18.6	17.2	1.36	15.8	16.3	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.09,0	92.3%
OKC 105, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.1,0.08,0	92.3%
ORL 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.02,0	91.7%