inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 108 Excitement8.1 [205] MVPTravis Knight (BOS): +11.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Comeback1.8 [95] LVPNick Van Exel (LAL): -13.0%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Knight0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.06-0.01964%0.1100.00450%-0.05
Dana Barros0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.020.030.01558%0.0500.002100%0.00
Greg Minor0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01550%-0.0000.00475%0.01
Antoine Walker-0.000,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.012353%0.083-0.09786%0.03
Walter McCarty-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.060.031163%-0.0300.00875%-0.01
Tyus Edney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00050%-0.0300.00450%-0.03
Chauncey Billups-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03-0.080.04-0.011453%0.126-0.16250%-0.01
Ron Mercer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001041%-0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.01922%-0.082-0.0300%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.001960%0.102-0.05786%0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.02-0.02847%0.052-0.0510%-0.03
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00167%0.011-0.0210%-0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.021653%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04-0.04-0.090.01-0.041030%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001153%0.022-0.091070%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00547%-0.063-0.06560%-0.03
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.08-0.011453%0.064-0.1940%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.827.415.030.51.842.3146.8
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +3.4%
BOS +21.6%
BOS +13.1%
BOS +17.9%
LAL -6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSLALNBABOSLALNBA
this game14.014.615.6109.1100.0102.5
season15.114.8100.2110.0
opponent15.615.1102.6103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.813.116.014.514.0
LAL12.116.716.813.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Knight59600.57-0.070.650.1913-72014.013.90.0814.714.60.09
Antoine Walker93950.51-0.010.510.3942214.210.73.5514.713.90.85
Dana Barros31320.430.070.360.0214-82212.614.6-2.0215.414.31.15
Walter McCarty76790.410.090.320.3524-214.113.60.5114.315.9-1.58
Bruce Bowen69710.410.090.310.2360612.816.8-3.9715.213.41.86
Greg Minor26260.180.32-0.14-0.089-31213.314.2-0.9416.813.92.90
Chauncey Billups65660.110.39-0.290.28-612-1814.313.40.9914.015.8-1.79
Ron Mercer32340.010.49-0.480.18-612-1816.612.73.8812.915.5-2.60
Tyus Edney46-0.030.53-0.57-0.0306-616.213.92.3414.814.60.20
Andrew DeClercq4041-0.080.58-0.660.09-612-1813.914.0-0.0814.614.7-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Rooks34330.13-0.630.760.014-101412.315.8-3.4913.714.2-0.50
Robert Horry64630.04-0.540.59-0.074-101415.812.73.0414.712.81.92
Nick Van Exel7775-0.21-0.290.08-0.272-81014.714.60.0614.412.81.54
Eddie Jones7571-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-5414.714.40.3814.213.50.70
Derek Fisher2524-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-82-1014.614.7-0.0612.814.4-1.54
Rick Fox8784-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.31-2-4214.615.1-0.4913.814.9-1.10
Corie Blount4240-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-126-1815.014.40.5212.315.2-2.85
Elden Campbell5050-0.560.06-0.62-0.32-82-1015.513.81.7514.513.50.93
Kobe Bryant5655-0.570.07-0.65-0.31-93-1213.715.8-2.0714.213.70.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.31,0.15,0.02,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 100, SEA 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,092.7%
ATL 76, MIA 730.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.11,0.04,092.1%
MIN 93, DEN 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,092.1%