NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	6.5 [474]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): +33.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	3.8 [35]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.25	0.10	0.02	19	87%	0.43	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	16	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Micheal Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Doug West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.07	0.04	16	33%	-0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	13	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	11	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	19	61%	0.13	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	7	58%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	13	48%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	24.1	15.6	22.5	2.3	34.7	125.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.8%

MIN +8.5%

MIN +14.2%

MIN +16.6%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.6	127.3	117.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		105.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.7		102.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	20.0	17.9	17.4	17.5
SEA	14.4	15.1	16.4	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	51	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-1	11	18.7	15.7	3.02	15.6	14.8	0.80
Stephon Marbury	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	16.7	24.0	-7.27	14.9	17.6	-2.65
Tom Gugliotta	75	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-6	21	16.4	23.6	-7.20	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Doug West	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	19.0	16.1	2.96	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Sam Mitchell	24	25	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	4	1	20.9	16.2	4.73	16.6	14.7	1.89
Kevin Garnett	69	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	14	-19	18.1	15.3	2.76	15.1	15.7	-0.55
Chris Carr	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	16.2	18.4	-2.27	15.7	14.9	0.81
Cherokee Parks	40	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	7	-5	15.9	18.8	-2.89	15.3	15.2	0.11
Terry Porter	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	14	-19	13.1	18.3	-5.24	12.4	15.7	-3.36
Micheal Williams	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	15	-21	24.0	16.7	7.27	17.6	14.9	2.65

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	30	29	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-15	21	14.4	15.7	-1.29	17.0	17.7	-0.76
Greg Anthony	7	7	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-15	21	15.1	15.3	-0.12	26.3	16.7	9.57
Hersey Hawkins	61	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	15.1	15.7	-0.60	16.6	19.6	-2.98
Vin Baker	64	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-14	19	15.2	15.5	-0.29	18.0	16.2	1.78
David Wingate	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.3	15.5	-1.15	18.1	17.3	0.73
Detlef Schrempf	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-7	5	15.1	15.9	-0.81	16.7	21.8	-5.04
Aaron Williams	17	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	8	-25	17.0	14.8	2.17	16.6	17.7	-1.03
Sam Perkins	33	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	6	-21	16.9	14.3	2.65	19.6	16.1	3.54
Dale Ellis	55	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	1	-11	14.9	15.8	-0.81	17.9	16.8	1.11
Gary Payton	81	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	6	-21	15.3	15.1	0.12	16.7	26.3	-9.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
UTA 110, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	92.3%
SAS 87, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	91.9%