NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	3.0 [1146]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +8.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.5 [294]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -11.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Myers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	4	10%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Childs	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	12	40%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.21	0.01	0.13	18	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	7	56%	0.03	2	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	20	55%	0.03	4	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	27.6	15.4	28.2	2.0	28.4	125.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.2%

MIL +7.8%

NYK -0.4%

MIL +10.9%

MIL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.4	15.6	88.6	108.9	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		100.4	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.3		102.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.2	14.8	14.5	15.0
MIL	15.3	17.5	16.5	20.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Myers	21	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-20	20	14.7	15.1	-0.39	19.5	16.6	2.89
Patrick Ewing	36	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-18	16	14.1	15.6	-1.54	16.8	17.7	-0.91
Charles Oakley	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-12	4	14.8	15.1	-0.36	17.2	17.5	-0.35
Chris Mills	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-15	10	14.7	15.1	-0.39	16.1	17.9	-1.76
Chris Dudley	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-12	4	20.1	14.4	5.73	14.1	17.7	-3.56
Charlie Ward	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-13	6	14.4	15.9	-1.48	18.2	16.1	2.14
John Starks	51	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-10	0	14.2	16.0	-1.83	18.5	15.7	2.79
Chris Childs	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-8	-4	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.5	17.1	0.44
Allan Houston	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-4	-12	15.6	14.0	1.65	16.7	18.3	-1.61
Buck Williams	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-9	-2	15.6	14.5	1.04	16.4	18.0	-1.63
Larry Johnson	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	1	-22	15.4	13.7	1.72	17.2	17.7	-0.52

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	79	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-2	24	17.1	19.0	-1.86	15.0	14.5	0.51
Tony Smith	26	25	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	10	0	17.5	17.3	0.13	15.4	14.8	0.61
Tyrone Hill	67	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	4	12	16.9	18.7	-1.84	15.0	14.8	0.16
Ray Allen	80	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.11	14	6	8	17.4	16.7	0.75	14.9	15.8	-0.94
Andrew Lang	20	21	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	9	2	18.4	17.1	1.39	15.7	14.7	0.92
Michael Curry	37	36	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	12	-4	18.8	16.4	2.45	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Armen Gilliam	25	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	14	-8	18.2	17.1	1.10	15.2	14.9	0.29
Ervin Johnson	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	12	-4	15.7	18.7	-3.00	15.6	14.4	1.16
Elliot Perry	63	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	13	-6	16.9	18.4	-1.54	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Ricky Pierce	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	18.7	17.3	1.46	12.0	15.1	-3.14
Jamie Feick	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	22.7	17.2	5.48	17.5	14.9	2.59
Jerald Honeycutt	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	22.7	17.2	5.48	17.5	14.9	2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 77, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
POR 104, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 75, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%