NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	3.8 [1081]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +20.4%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.4 [1209]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -9.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.02	0.00	28	58%	0.20	0	0.00	11	91%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	14	66%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Zach Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	21	61%	0.16	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	21	55%	0.10	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	6	43%	0.04	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.8	27.0	15.4	29.6	2.5	26.3	123.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +54.2%

POR -7.5%

GSW +2.8%

POR -1.5%

GSW +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	14.7	108.3	113.3	107.5
season	15.2	13.7		107.8	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.3		105.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	17.6	14.4	16.1	15.8
GSW	14.5	11.9	11.4	18.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Swanigan	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-11	15	10.0	15.9	-5.89	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Noah Vonleh	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-17	27	16.1	15.7	0.44	17.3	12.5	4.82
Jake Layman	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-15	23	15.9	15.8	0.16	14.9	13.4	1.51
Ed Davis	15	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	1	-9	18.7	15.3	3.36	13.1	14.0	-0.86
Meyers Leonard	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	3	-13	15.7	15.9	-0.27	12.1	15.2	-3.10
Zach Collins	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-8	9	15.7	16.0	-0.24	14.9	12.8	2.05
Pat Connaughton	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	17.3	14.7	2.59	16.0	12.3	3.73
Evan Turner	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	2	-11	15.4	16.8	-1.42	12.7	16.4	-3.75
Al-Farouq Aminu	53	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	3	-13	15.4	16.4	-0.98	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Damian Lillard	85	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	15.6	17.3	-1.63	14.1	12.3	1.76
CJ McCollum	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	14	-35	15.4	17.0	-1.56	13.1	16.4	-3.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	79	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	2	3	13.7	14.5	-0.80	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Jordan Bell	57	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-7	21	12.9	15.2	-2.31	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Andre Iguodala	61	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	4	-1	15.0	12.0	3.02	16.4	14.9	1.44
Kevin Durant	77	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	-1	9	13.6	14.8	-1.19	15.2	17.9	-2.63
Shaun Livingston	52	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	1	5	12.8	15.1	-2.28	15.2	16.5	-1.28
Omri Casspi	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	5	-3	12.6	15.4	-2.73	15.5	16.3	-0.80
David West	31	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	9	-11	15.0	13.4	1.59	17.4	15.0	2.42
Nick Young	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	-4	15	13.9	13.9	0.01	16.5	15.6	0.91
Patrick McCaw	31	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	15.1	13.3	1.83	17.0	15.3	1.77
Quinn Cook	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	12	-17	16.4	13.3	3.14	16.6	15.7	0.92
Kevon Looney	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	18.0	13.7	4.34	17.6	15.7	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 77, DET 117	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 75, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%