NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.8 [420]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (SAC): +15.8%
Sacramento Kings	94		Comeback	1.9 [255]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -17.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	17	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	57%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	14	66%	0.03	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	12	84%	0.28	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Michael Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	17	41%	-0.07	3	-0.09	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.0	15.8	28.3	2.3	39.0	137.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.5%

POR -1.1%

SAC +13.6%

SAC +5.4%

SAC +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	14.1	15.6	93.5	100.0	102.5
season	15.9	15.2		101.9	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	18.1	17.9	14.4	16.7
SAC	14.0	15.4	12.4	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	18.1	16.5	1.62	19.2	13.4	5.85
Jermaine O'Neal	21	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	18.2	16.2	2.03	15.0	13.9	1.14
Rasheed Wallace	59	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-8	9	16.5	17.0	-0.57	14.3	13.9	0.46
Kenny Anderson	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	0	-7	16.8	16.5	0.34	12.9	15.5	-2.66
Stacey Augmon	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	16.9	16.5	0.48	13.3	14.8	-1.47
Kelvin Cato	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	18.5	15.7	2.75	15.8	13.3	2.52
Alvin Williams	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-7	7	16.5	16.8	-0.34	15.5	12.9	2.66
Gary Trent	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	15.8	17.7	-1.82	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Arvydas Sabonis	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.0	19.2	-3.13	13.5	16.4	-2.87
Isaiah Rider	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.5	18.1	-1.62	13.4	19.2	-5.85

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	13.6	18.5	-4.87	16.4	18.8	-2.39
Mitch Richmond	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	2	3	13.7	15.4	-1.71	16.7	16.6	0.07
Lawrence Funderburke	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	0	7	16.6	12.1	4.53	18.4	15.1	3.30
Anthony Johnson	49	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	0	7	13.4	15.0	-1.63	18.2	15.2	3.01
Olden Polynice	43	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	5	-3	14.5	13.9	0.58	15.4	17.9	-2.57
Bobby Hurley	40	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	15.4	13.2	2.22	15.6	17.6	-2.06
Michael Stewart	54	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	13.2	15.4	-2.22	17.4	15.8	1.52
Billy Owens	47	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	6	-5	12.9	15.4	-2.47	15.5	17.8	-2.22
Terry Dehere	42	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	7	-7	15.4	13.1	2.27	16.6	16.7	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 84, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%