NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	78		Excitement	4.8 [836]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +6.8%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.0 [1039]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -31.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	15	53%	-0.00	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	10	23%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32	-0.22	-0.10	-0.00	10	38%	-0.08	8	-0.23	6	67%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	24	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	75%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	25.0	17.4	26.3	2.7	40.6	137.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.6%

DET -5.5%

DET -8.8%

NYK +29.4%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	83.9	88.3	102.5
season	15.9	15.7		102.8	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.9		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.2	15.7	17.6	13.3	15.7
NYK	13.1	15.6	15.1	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.33	12	-17	29	14.6	16.6	-1.99	16.8	13.7	3.10
Jerome Williams	40	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	0	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.29	14.7	15.4	-0.77
Malik Sealy	57	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-11	17	14.8	17.1	-2.32	16.0	13.7	2.31
Lindsey Hunter	62	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	1	-7	15.9	15.3	0.55	13.8	18.1	-4.27
Theo Ratliff	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	16.7	13.5	3.28	16.1	13.0	3.11
Joe Dumars	45	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	9	-23	17.3	14.2	3.10	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Grant Hill	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	6	-17	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Bison Dele	80	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	3	-11	15.2	18.7	-3.49	14.8	17.0	-2.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	75	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-8	21	14.0	19.4	-5.39	15.7	15.7	0.03
Charlie Ward	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-10	25	14.4	16.2	-1.81	15.9	15.4	0.53
Allan Houston	67	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	14.1	17.6	-3.42	16.1	14.7	1.39
Charles Oakley	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-8	21	15.8	13.6	2.21	16.6	13.4	3.14
Chris Mills	53	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-2	9	15.3	14.9	0.34	13.9	17.7	-3.82
Larry Johnson	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	14.8	15.3	-0.50	18.0	14.2	3.73
Buck Williams	17	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	13.4	15.5	-2.08	13.5	16.1	-2.64
John Starks	39	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	16	-27	16.2	14.3	1.90	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Chris Childs	37	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.22	-10	15	-25	16.2	14.4	1.81	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Chris Dudley	24	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.17	-12	17	-29	19.0	13.8	5.16	15.7	15.7	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1	95.5%
PHI 74, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHH 73, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%