NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	74		Excitement	4.2 [968]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +5.6%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	1.2 [1110]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -18.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	15	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.06	8	62%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	53%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.04	17	54%	-0.03	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	20	49%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.04	0.02	23	44%	-0.06	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	29.5	16.3	24.5	2.4	28.2	128.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.5%

PHI -0.2%

IND +12.1%

IND +22.2%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	17.0	15.7	89.2	94.2	100.5
season	16.2	16.7		96.7	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		94.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.6	16.0	18.6	14.8	17.1
IND	14.1	19.0	14.3	21.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-6	5	14.3	17.5	-3.20	16.1	17.2	-1.10
Amal McCaskill	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	18.6	16.8	1.89	12.0	18.0	-5.99
John Salmons	36	38	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	17.7	16.6	1.10	16.6	17.3	-0.68
Zendon Hamilton	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	17.7	17.0	0.75	19.8	16.7	3.09
Kyle Korver	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-11	15	17.0	17.2	-0.25	18.4	15.5	2.82
Willie Green	50	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-12	17	16.2	18.4	-2.14	18.6	14.6	3.91
Aaron McKie	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	5	-17	17.3	16.8	0.48	15.3	18.7	-3.47
Samuel Dalembert	64	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-7	7	16.6	18.7	-2.16	17.9	13.7	4.20
Kenny Thomas	79	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	0	-7	17.3	13.2	4.02	16.8	20.8	-4.02
Eric Snow	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	4	-15	17.6	14.7	2.88	16.5	19.1	-2.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-6	19	17.3	15.9	1.37	17.3	16.4	0.87
Jamaal Tinsley	53	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-3	13	16.8	17.3	-0.42	18.1	15.5	2.56
Al Harrington	66	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-2	11	17.1	16.6	0.47	17.5	15.6	1.87
Jeff Foster	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-5	17	16.0	17.8	-1.80	17.9	16.4	1.51
Fred Jones	51	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	10	-13	17.6	16.2	1.37	16.8	17.4	-0.62
Austin Croshere	47	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	10	-13	17.2	16.8	0.44	16.2	18.1	-1.94
Reggie Miller	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-3	13	16.2	17.6	-1.37	17.4	16.8	0.62
Anthony Johnson	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	10	-13	17.3	16.8	0.42	15.5	18.1	-2.56
James Jones	16	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	17.1	17.0	0.14	17.1	17.1	-0.00
Scot Pollard	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	15	-23	17.0	17.0	-0.02	15.7	17.6	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 70, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHA 78, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 70, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%