NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	8.2 [188]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +24.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	110		Comeback	3.0 [166]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -23.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25	0.09	0.17	0.01	20	64%	0.30	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.01	0.04	6	108%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0,0,0,-0.05	0.07	-0.11	0.01	6	92%	0.08	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	7	13%	-0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	0.02	15	59%	0.00	5	-0.21	7	71%	-0.06
Clyde Drexler	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	20	36%	-0.09	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	13	77%	0.30	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	68%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	92%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	12	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	27.0	15.8	24.1	2.5	31.5	127.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +68.7%

HOU -6.9%

HOU -26.4%

VAN +20.3%

HOU -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	15.6	107.1	114.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.5	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		109.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.3	16.0	12.3	17.8	16.0
VAN	12.5	14.0	14.9	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	5.6	16.5	-10.92	14.0	13.7	0.30
Matt Maloney	48	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-1	-3	13.9	18.0	-4.13	13.9	13.6	0.28
Rodrick Rhodes	14	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.9	15.6	2.30	9.9	14.4	-4.47
Eddie Johnson	32	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-5	5	21.0	13.5	7.48	14.3	13.4	0.91
Othella Harrington	32	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	17.3	15.3	2.06	13.6	13.7	-0.13
Mario Elie	52	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-3	1	14.1	18.1	-4.05	14.5	12.8	1.67
Charles Barkley	88	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.9	16.4	-0.49	13.9	12.4	1.46
Clyde Drexler	91	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	15.9	16.9	-0.97	13.8	12.0	1.80
Kevin Willis	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-1	-3	15.4	17.8	-2.34	13.6	14.3	-0.69
Emanual Davis	52	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-2	-1	17.3	14.5	2.83	13.3	14.1	-0.77

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	31	29	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.53	5	0	5	13.9	13.6	0.29	17.4	15.4	2.02
Lee Mayberry	42	45	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-2	9	14.0	13.5	0.43	18.1	14.1	4.02
Otis Thorpe	74	73	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	14.4	11.4	3.04	17.1	12.6	4.51
Bryant Reeves	77	78	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	5	-5	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.2	19.1	-3.95
Pete Chilcutt	32	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	13.7	13.7	-0.03	17.2	15.2	2.00
Blue Edwards	47	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.20	-1	6	-7	13.4	14.0	-0.64	16.8	15.1	1.63
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	80	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	6	-7	13.4	15.0	-1.59	14.6	21.9	-7.33
Sam Mack	45	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.13	1	4	-3	13.4	14.0	-0.58	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Antonio Daniels	54	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	7	-9	13.5	14.0	-0.43	14.1	18.1	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.8%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	91.5%
SAS 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.9,1	91.3%