NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Excitement	7.9 [230]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +22.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	77		Comeback	1.9 [429]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -47.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22	0.16	0.06	0.00	13	77%	0.22	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	80%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Henry James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	48%	0.02	2	-0.07	9	67%	-0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	49%	-0.02	2	-0.07	11	36%	-0.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	12	76%	0.30	6	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	8	55%	-0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.47	-0.47	-0.11	-0.35	0.02	18	48%	-0.24	5	-0.23	6	100%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.4	26.4	14.8	28.3	1.6	36.2	132.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.2%

MIL -14.2%

MIL -31.4%

CLE +32.3%

CLE +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	18.2	15.6	87.8	87.5	102.5
season	15.4	16.0		99.4	101.1
opponent	15.1	16.0		102.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	11.9	14.7	14.0	14.2
MIL	17.2	18.1	15.9	22.4	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	53	51	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.55	16	-14	30	12.8	16.2	-3.49	19.8	16.1	3.73
Danny Ferry	36	37	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.20	15	-13	28	13.9	14.4	-0.41	20.7	16.4	4.29
Wesley Person	82	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	0	2	14.4	11.7	2.68	18.4	16.3	2.10
Brevin Knight	77	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.45	-6	8	-14	14.3	13.5	0.85	17.5	22.1	-4.67
Shawn Kemp	74	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	6	-10	14.4	13.1	1.29	17.7	20.3	-2.56
Henry James	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	0	2	11.8	14.5	-2.68	17.8	18.3	-0.49
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.26	-8	10	-18	15.0	13.7	1.33	15.9	19.6	-3.69
Vitaly Potapenko	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	-1	4	13.3	14.7	-1.45	19.2	17.6	1.55
Cedric Henderson	51	50	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	12	-22	15.4	12.6	2.82	17.2	19.5	-2.26

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	23	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-4	6	17.4	18.5	-1.06	15.9	13.5	2.34
Terrell Brandon	61	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-3	4	17.1	20.7	-3.54	14.5	13.6	0.94
Michael Curry	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	1	-4	18.9	17.9	1.02	13.8	14.3	-0.54
Ricky Pierce	17	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	4	-10	18.1	18.3	-0.19	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Ray Allen	55	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-7	12	17.4	19.6	-2.22	14.4	13.8	0.54
Elliot Perry	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	18.8	18.1	0.74	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Andrew Lang	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-4	6	19.2	17.3	1.92	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Armen Gilliam	23	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	18.9	18.0	0.94	12.6	14.7	-2.12
Tyrone Hill	80	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	17.8	22.1	-4.30	14.2	13.9	0.34
Glenn Robinson	81	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	18.2	18.3	-0.08	14.3	12.7	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	91.5%
ORL 104, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	91.3%
NYK 87, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0	91.1%