NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	4.4 [906]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +15.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	84		Comeback	1.1 [338]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -17.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	-0.00	14	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Henry James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.08	0.03	-0.04	9	41%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	11	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	14	34%	-0.06	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	15	52%	-0.04	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	58%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	20%	-0.08
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	10	15%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	1.8	28.2	16.3	27.7	2.6	37.4	143.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.9%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +12.5%

LAL -2.0%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.6	96.9	86.6	102.5
season	15.4	14.8		99.4	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.0		102.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	16.3	13.6	17.0	15.3
LAL	15.7	14.3	15.9	12.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	88	88	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-8	26	14.4	23.6	-9.12	14.6	13.0	1.56
Cedric Henderson	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-10	30	14.3	17.0	-2.70	15.0	13.3	1.72
Shawn Kemp	58	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-11	32	13.5	17.9	-4.38	15.7	12.5	3.17
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-11	32	15.3	15.3	-0.04	15.8	13.0	2.88
Brevin Knight	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-3	16	14.2	17.5	-3.30	14.7	13.8	0.90
Derek Anderson	53	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	21	-32	17.3	12.8	4.46	13.2	15.8	-2.67
Danny Ferry	55	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	22	-34	16.3	14.0	2.30	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Vitaly Potapenko	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.23	-10	20	-30	16.7	14.5	2.20	11.9	15.7	-3.84
Henry James	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	21.2	15.0	6.24	12.6	14.5	-1.91
Mitchell Butler	18	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	17	-24	19.1	14.4	4.71	14.6	14.4	0.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	41	41	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.41	18	-28	46	13.0	15.5	-2.49	18.3	13.1	5.26
Jon Barry	12	13	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.26	10	-20	30	13.9	14.5	-0.57	17.5	14.9	2.52
Corie Blount	40	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-21	32	13.2	15.3	-2.06	17.2	13.8	3.41
Sean Rooks	30	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-13	16	15.1	14.1	1.00	13.8	16.0	-2.12
Kobe Bryant	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-13	16	12.9	16.7	-3.77	16.4	13.6	2.74
Rick Fox	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	0	-10	16.1	13.0	3.10	15.5	15.1	0.45
Robert Horry	74	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	0	-10	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.4	14.8	0.64
Elden Campbell	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	14	-38	14.9	13.9	1.09	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Nick Van Exel	65	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	13	-36	15.2	12.7	2.48	13.9	18.0	-4.17
Eddie Jones	72	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.21	-28	18	-46	14.8	13.4	1.36	13.4	20.5	-7.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.4%
MIN 106, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 92, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	95.4%