NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	6.1 [550]		MVP	Eric Murdock (MIA): +12.1%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.1 [974]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -23.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	19	55%	0.11	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Montross	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rex Walters	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	8	-0.25	6	67%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.07	-0.05	10	65%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	50%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	20	61%	0.19	7	-0.18	6	67%	-0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	12	31%	-0.17	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	25.2	15.4	25.6	2.3	36.6	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +36.7%

PHI -2.3%

MIA +6.7%

MIA +7.0%

MIA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.2	15.6	94.7	97.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.8		99.7	104.7
opponent	16.2	15.5		99.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	14.4	15.8	13.7	15.0
MIA	15.7	16.3	15.5	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	5	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-5	6	13.6	15.0	-1.44	23.2	14.7	8.45
Rex Walters	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-6	8	16.8	14.6	2.19	15.5	15.1	0.34
Tim Thomas	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-6	8	13.5	15.4	-1.92	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Terry Cummings	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-5	6	16.0	13.9	2.13	15.8	14.6	1.21
Eric Montross	30	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	15.9	14.5	1.36	15.7	14.9	0.77
Mark Davis	24	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	0	-4	15.3	14.8	0.49	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-10	16	14.8	15.7	-0.93	15.4	14.5	0.87
Jim Jackson	78	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-2	0	14.6	16.9	-2.33	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Jerry Stackhouse	72	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Allen Iverson	73	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	3	-10	14.6	16.0	-1.40	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Scott Williams	33	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	8	-20	14.5	15.2	-0.65	14.9	15.3	-0.42

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	80	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-8	20	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Dan Majerle	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-3	10	14.9	16.0	-1.05	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Jamal Mashburn	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-5	14	15.4	14.9	0.47	15.4	14.1	1.28
Eric Murdock	43	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	6	-8	14.3	15.9	-1.69	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Terry Mills	22	23	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	0	4	17.1	14.6	2.53	16.5	14.5	2.05
Tim Hardaway	80	79	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	6	-8	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Ike Austin	84	82	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	7	-10	14.9	17.5	-2.64	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Mark Strickland	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	16.4	15.0	1.40	17.2	14.6	2.61
Keith Askins	24	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	16.7	14.7	1.97	15.8	14.7	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%
LAC 96, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.1%
ATL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.1%