NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	9.2 [96]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +18.8%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	4.2 [253]		LVP	Chris Gatling (NJN): -22.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19	0.00	0.18	-0.00	12	55%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.06
Dale Ellis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.00	11	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	14	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
David Wingate	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	0.00	-0.04	0.06	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.16	7	71%	0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	17	53%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	19	51%	0.00	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	33%	-0.10	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.02	18	45%	-0.11	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	8	35%	-0.11	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	1.8	27.4	15.4	25.2	1.6	33.9	124.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +59.7%

SEA +30.0%

NJN -58.0%

SEA +14.8%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	17.4	15.6	103.3	100.0	102.5
season	15.3	15.6		109.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.2		103.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	15.5	16.3	13.4	14.8
NJN	15.2	19.7	17.2	17.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wingate	36	34	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-8	20	13.7	15.6	-1.93	17.7	17.1	0.59
Gary Payton	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	14.7	16.5	-1.84	17.4	16.6	0.87
Dale Ellis	51	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-4	12	14.5	15.3	-0.77	18.6	15.9	2.72
Sam Perkins	38	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-5	14	15.0	14.7	0.26	19.1	16.1	2.99
Vin Baker	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	-1	6	14.4	17.0	-2.65	16.5	21.4	-4.96
Detlef Schrempf	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.36	-3	7	-10	15.3	13.1	2.21	17.0	18.9	-1.94
Hersey Hawkins	57	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	10	-16	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.7	18.6	-1.96
Greg Anthony	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	4	-4	16.5	14.7	1.84	16.6	17.4	-0.87
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	16.3	14.7	1.62	25.3	16.8	8.54
Jim McIlvaine	26	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	16.7	14.1	2.58	15.2	18.2	-3.02

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	30	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.19	-2	-2	0	19.2	16.4	2.81	15.2	14.6	0.62
Michael Cage	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	0	-4	16.1	17.6	-1.46	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Jayson Williams	68	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	17.0	18.4	-1.38	16.0	11.2	4.76
Sherman Douglas	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-3	2	19.7	16.4	3.28	15.7	14.5	1.24
Kevin Edwards	19	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	16.8	17.5	-0.74	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Kendall Gill	65	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	18.0	15.7	2.22	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Kerry Kittles	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	17.3	17.6	-0.23	14.9	14.6	0.22
Chris Gatling	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-8	12	17.3	17.6	-0.26	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Sam Cassell	63	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	16.4	19.7	-3.28	14.5	15.7	-1.24
David Benoit	28	26	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.57	-10	6	-16	16.0	18.0	-2.05	13.5	15.4	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.72,0.86,0.74,0	91.2%
LAC 92, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.58,0	90.7%
SAS 105, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.29,0.55,0.92,0	90.3%