NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	8.2 [210]		MVP	Roger Mason Jr. (SAS): +23.6%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	11.9 [59]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -18.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,0.24	0.03	0.27	0.05	9	52%	0.29	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	16	62%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	3	87%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.06,0.03	0.11	-0.08	-0.00	17	68%	0.21	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Malik Hairston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	12	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.1,0.22,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.07	0.03	23	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	100%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.13	0.01	18	49%	0.01	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	11	27%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	34.2	18.7	25.3	3.7	43.0	150.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.4%

SAS +10.5%

SAS +3.2%

BOS -8.6%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.5	114.1	104.2	106.4
season	16.4	15.8		106.6	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.8	16.7	15.2	14.8	15.6
BOS	14.8	16.8	15.4	14.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	60	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-5	16	15.0	16.6	-1.54	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Kurt Thomas	36	39	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	14.1	16.5	-2.38	15.4	15.1	0.28
Michael Finley	63	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	8	-10	15.7	15.4	0.25	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Roger Mason Jr.	60	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	4	-2	15.8	15.2	0.61	14.4	16.7	-2.31
Tim Duncan	79	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	15.2	17.8	-2.54	14.4	20.1	-5.69
Bruce Bowen	16	17	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	4	-2	12.1	16.3	-4.19	12.2	15.9	-3.71
Tony Parker	60	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	0	6	16.4	14.1	2.34	15.0	15.7	-0.80
Matt Bonner	67	67	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	6	-6	16.9	12.1	4.82	16.0	13.2	2.79
George Hill	31	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	5	-4	14.5	16.1	-1.66	15.8	14.9	0.85
Fabricio Oberto	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	4	-2	12.0	15.7	-3.67	25.0	15.0	9.99
Malik Hairston	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	15.6	-15.59	2.0	15.4	-13.36

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	80	76	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-11	16	14.4	19.5	-5.12	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Kendrick Perkins	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-14	22	15.0	15.7	-0.62	16.3	13.8	2.53
Ray Allen	77	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-7	8	14.8	16.9	-2.06	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Kevin Garnett	73	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-7	8	14.0	19.1	-5.10	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Leon Powe	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	5	-16	18.8	14.1	4.76	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Paul Pierce	80	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	14.4	19.6	-5.20	16.0	13.7	2.29
Glen Davis	23	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	2	-10	18.4	14.2	4.24	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Tony Allen	33	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	9	-24	18.1	13.7	4.44	15.6	15.6	0.06
Eddie House	20	18	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	7	-20	15.5	15.1	0.42	14.2	15.9	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.29,0.55,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.74,0	90.3%
SAS 104, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.67,0.58,0	89.5%
ATL 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.72,0.86,0.74,0	88.8%