NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	4.7 [854]		MVP	Rusty LaRue (CHI): +5.9%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.3 [1006]		LVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): -17.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rusty LaRue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	21	58%	0.09	7	-0.14	8	75%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.03	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	7	26%	-0.08	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.00	0.00	24	37%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	9	32%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	26.1	15.8	25.2	1.8	32.7	126.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.3%

CHI +0.9%

CHI +6.0%

BOS -15.6%

CHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.6	101.0	90.6	102.5
season	16.2	15.1		105.8	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.0	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.9	13.0	16.6	15.8	14.3
BOS	18.1	15.2	16.1	13.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	80	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.08	23	-13	36	13.2	19.3	-6.06	15.9	14.7	1.27
Toni Kukoc	70	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	14.5	13.7	0.83	16.3	14.5	1.75
Michael Jordan	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-7	24	13.7	17.2	-3.59	16.0	14.6	1.41
Luc Longley	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-3	16	14.7	13.9	0.82	17.7	14.0	3.67
Rusty LaRue	51	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.17	5	5	0	14.7	13.8	0.87	14.6	17.0	-2.42
Randy Brown	16	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	4	2	12.2	14.7	-2.49	16.9	15.5	1.41
Jud Buechler	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	12	-14	15.9	13.5	2.39	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Bill Wennington	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	10	-10	12.7	14.5	-1.73	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Scott Burrell	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	14	-18	22.0	13.7	8.26	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Ron Harper	63	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.34	-12	22	-34	14.9	13.1	1.78	15.3	16.5	-1.18
Jason Caffey	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	18	-26	13.9	14.4	-0.47	13.8	16.5	-2.71

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pervis Ellison	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.16	11	-21	32	15.1	16.0	-0.89	18.7	12.7	6.03
Tyus Edney	36	32	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-15	20	15.3	16.0	-0.74	17.5	12.6	4.86
Greg Minor	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-15	20	15.1	15.8	-0.64	21.6	13.6	8.03
Bruce Bowen	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-15	20	15.9	15.4	0.48	14.7	13.6	1.08
Dee Brown	19	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	15.3	15.8	-0.53	13.2	14.5	-1.28
Dana Barros	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-3	-4	14.5	16.5	-2.02	13.0	15.0	-1.97
Andrew DeClercq	13	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-2	-6	19.2	15.2	3.95	11.7	14.6	-2.86
Ron Mercer	68	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.3	14.2	0.15
Chauncey Billups	29	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	17.0	15.2	1.76	10.7	16.0	-5.36
Travis Knight	56	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	14.9	16.9	-2.03	13.1	16.0	-2.88
Antoine Walker	80	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.09	-13	3	-16	16.0	14.5	1.49	13.9	16.7	-2.81
Walter McCarty	54	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.03	-18	8	-26	15.6	16.0	-0.38	14.3	14.2	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, SAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIL 112, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%