NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	7.3 [340]		MVP	Eddie Johnson (HOU): +32.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.6 [349]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -26.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.06	0.22	-0.05	12	66%	0.33	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.12
Matt Bullard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	20	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	11	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mario Elie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Charles Barkley	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	11	29%	-0.13	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	78%	0.15	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	15	54%	0.04	5	-0.16	7	86%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	38%	-0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	9	11%	-0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	27.8	15.8	29.0	2.5	34.7	135.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.4%

HOU +16.5%

POR -19.8%

HOU +30.5%

HOU +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	106.5	96.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	14.2	14.9	17.1	15.5
POR	14.6	16.5	16.4	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	43	42	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-6	21	16.5	14.7	1.86	15.9	15.6	0.31
Charles Barkley	76	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-5	19	15.6	15.2	0.43	15.9	15.0	0.93
Rodrick Rhodes	26	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-2	13	14.1	16.1	-2.04	17.1	15.2	1.89
Brent Price	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	15.5	15.5	0.00	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Matt Bullard	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	5	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.23	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Matt Maloney	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	15.5	15.5	-0.00	16.8	15.0	1.80
Clyde Drexler	66	66	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	11	-13	16.1	14.1	2.04	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Othella Harrington	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	5	-1	12.3	15.8	-3.43	19.3	15.5	3.82
Kevin Willis	59	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	15	-21	16.0	14.8	1.23	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Mario Elie	51	51	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	13	-17	14.6	16.8	-2.19	15.4	16.2	-0.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	59	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-14	19	16.0	15.4	0.62	15.6	15.4	0.26
Kelvin Cato	14	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-8	7	15.9	15.7	0.11	16.1	15.4	0.63
Stacey Augmon	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-6	3	15.5	15.9	-0.44	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Rasheed Wallace	74	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-8	7	15.0	19.0	-4.03	16.0	13.8	2.20
Kenny Anderson	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	15.8	15.7	0.04	14.8	16.6	-1.77
Brian Grant	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.3	14.5	1.76	16.0	14.3	1.78
Isaiah Rider	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.1	14.6	1.48	15.6	15.3	0.36
Gary Trent	46	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	5	-19	15.3	16.2	-0.96	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Alvin Williams	48	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	5	-19	16.1	15.4	0.67	15.7	15.4	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.5%
PHX 110, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.4%