NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	3.0 [1141]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +9.8%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	1.1 [701]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -11.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	14	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	133%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herb Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	64%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	8	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	-0.05	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.04
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Anthony Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	11	58%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	15	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	23.2	24.3	25.5	1.7	26.2	126.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +50.9%

ATL -9.5%

NYK +8.4%

ATL -0.0%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.8	15.6	113.6	90.8	102.5
season	15.7	16.1		100.4	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.3		101.5	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	13.6	15.4	21.4	16.1
ATL	15.2	20.0	16.6	15.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	64	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	6	9	16.1	16.1	0.03	16.1	18.5	-2.39
Chris Mills	48	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	7	7	16.1	16.1	0.00	17.3	16.3	0.99
Patrick Ewing	58	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	9	3	15.6	17.1	-1.46	16.7	17.1	-0.44
Charles Oakley	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	8	5	16.5	15.3	1.23	16.8	16.9	-0.11
John Starks	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	8	5	16.4	15.8	0.61	17.5	16.0	1.50
Chris Childs	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	8	5	16.7	15.4	1.24	17.7	15.7	1.99
Charlie Ward	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	13	-5	15.4	16.7	-1.24	15.7	17.7	-1.99
Allan Houston	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	13	-5	15.3	17.0	-1.73	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Chris Dudley	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	13	-5	17.4	15.6	1.81	18.0	16.3	1.66
Herb Williams	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	15.4	16.1	-0.74	13.3	17.1	-3.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	15.3	17.1	-1.82	19.8	15.4	4.38
Anthony Miller	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-22	23	16.1	16.9	-0.76	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Greg Anderson	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-10	-1	18.1	16.6	1.50	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Tyrone Corbin	57	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-16	11	16.0	18.3	-2.32	16.9	14.5	2.42
Eldridge Recasner	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-9	-3	17.1	16.5	0.61	16.5	15.6	0.92
Ed Gray	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-10	-1	16.0	18.4	-2.40	15.2	18.0	-2.83
Chucky Brown	33	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-1	-19	18.6	15.7	2.84	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Dikembe Mutombo	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-11	1	16.7	17.4	-0.71	16.5	14.4	2.05
Mookie Blaylock	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-6	-9	17.0	16.3	0.73	16.3	15.7	0.61
Christian Laettner	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	0	-21	17.2	15.6	1.64	15.4	18.2	-2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 116, NOP 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIA 96, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	96.1%