NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	5.3 [727]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): +6.2%
Dallas Mavericks	77		Comeback	1.1 [892]		LVP	Dennis Scott (DAL): -22.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	9	45%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	20	62%	0.18	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.03	19	52%	0.07	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	12	35%	-0.12	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.01	9	15%	-0.15	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	24.4	16.4	21.4	2.4	33.5	121.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.9%

UTA +5.4%

DAL -1.5%

UTA +13.8%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	94.4	85.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.8		108.1	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	15.1	18.1	16.9	16.5
DAL	15.2	16.9	16.1	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-5	18	16.2	18.1	-1.89	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Jeff Hornacek	59	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	1	6	16.9	15.9	0.93	15.0	16.2	-1.15
Adam Keefe	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-1	10	17.1	16.0	1.07	15.6	15.3	0.35
Greg Foster	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-1	10	17.4	15.8	1.61	16.0	15.0	0.93
Jacque Vaughn	31	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	2	4	17.6	16.0	1.63	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Howard Eisley	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	6	-4	16.0	17.6	-1.63	15.6	15.1	0.48
Bryon Russell	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	9	-10	16.0	17.1	-1.07	15.3	15.6	-0.35
Shandon Anderson	31	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	7	-6	15.9	16.9	-0.93	16.2	15.0	1.15
Greg Ostertag	35	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	9	-10	16.1	16.9	-0.80	16.2	14.9	1.25
Antoine Carr	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	13	-18	16.8	16.4	0.40	14.7	15.8	-1.14

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	2	2	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	20.0	15.4	4.65	21.5	16.4	5.07
Samaki Walker	20	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	14.6	15.7	-1.04	20.0	15.4	4.57
Hubert Davis	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-11	14	13.8	16.9	-3.13	17.2	15.9	1.25
Khalid Reeves	53	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	17.0	13.3	3.66	15.8	17.5	-1.62
Dennis Scott	57	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	17.1	12.7	4.40	16.2	17.1	-0.84
Erick Strickland	37	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-5	2	13.3	17.0	-3.66	17.5	15.8	1.62
Shawn Bradley	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.6	20.4	-4.81
A.C. Green	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.5	15.2	0.27	16.3	19.3	-2.99
Michael Finley	81	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	15.2	17.9	-2.70	16.4	17.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.06,0.02,0	95.0%
SAC 104, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	94.9%
ATL 73, MIL 65	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	94.3%