NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	70		Excitement	4.9 [796]		MVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): +1.8%
Chicago Bulls	79		Comeback	1.3 [986]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -15.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Danny Ferry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mitchell Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	30%	-0.12	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Brevin Knight	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.02	-0.05	26	46%	0.05	5	-0.11	7	57%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	13	32%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.3	15.6	25.3	2.7	28.6	125.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.7%

CHI +7.7%

CLE -5.9%

CHI +27.6%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	76.1	85.9	102.5
season	15.4	16.2		99.4	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.0		97.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	15.4	12.2	15.1	14.6
CHI	18.3	15.9	16.1	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	5.0	14.7	-9.68	13.0	16.8	-3.77
Mitchell Butler	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.8	13.8	3.98	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	40	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-12	15	14.7	14.5	0.22	16.7	16.7	0.01
Cedric Henderson	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-13	17	13.7	15.0	-1.31	16.8	16.7	0.10
Bob Sura	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.6	-0.06	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	15.0	14.1	0.87	17.2	16.2	1.06
Danny Ferry	24	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	0	-9	14.7	14.5	0.18	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Derek Anderson	67	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	14.0	16.0	-2.01	16.9	16.4	0.45
Brevin Knight	70	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	14.4	15.0	-0.62	17.0	15.7	1.25
Wesley Person	61	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	8	-25	14.9	14.0	0.87	16.7	16.7	0.05
Shawn Kemp	72	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	2	-13	14.3	15.5	-1.18	16.8	16.5	0.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	73	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-3	15	17.2	15.0	2.18	14.8	13.8	0.99
Dennis Rodman	72	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-3	15	16.8	16.5	0.23	14.8	13.8	1.06
Luc Longley	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	16.5	17.5	-1.04	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Ron Harper	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	7	-5	16.9	15.8	1.11	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Toni Kukoc	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	17.2	15.6	1.55	14.6	14.5	0.06
Randy Brown	37	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	15.4	17.6	-2.21	14.3	14.8	-0.42
Jud Buechler	9	11	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	4	1	15.8	16.8	-1.05	10.4	15.1	-4.78
Scott Burrell	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	15.9	17.0	-1.09	15.9	14.1	1.76
Jason Caffey	21	22	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	7	-5	16.2	16.9	-0.70	14.8	14.5	0.32
Joe Kleine	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	13	-17	18.1	16.4	1.65	14.5	14.6	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,1,1	95.4%
LAC 82, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%