NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	3.3 [1092]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +12.3%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	1.5 [1165]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -6.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Salvadori	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Grimm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	49%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	11	48%	0.04	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.05	6	83%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	26.0	135.5	29.3	1.7	28.7	252.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.8%

NYK +5.0%

NYK +8.3%

SAC -1.0%

SAC -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.6	95.6	125.3	102.5
season	15.2	15.7		98.5	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.3		98.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	17.9	18.5	13.2	16.3
NYK	14.4	15.7	15.0	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Salvadori	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	17.1	16.2	0.93	18.0	15.1	2.86
Derek Grimm	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-23	19	14.3	16.6	-2.36	16.2	15.2	0.92
Michael Stewart	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-24	21	15.3	16.9	-1.54	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-24	21	18.2	16.0	2.27	15.8	15.3	0.56
Billy Owens	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-26	25	16.0	16.7	-0.69	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Anthony Johnson	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.27	-16	-11	-5	15.0	17.4	-2.43	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Mitch Richmond	61	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-21	15	16.5	15.8	0.67	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	9	10	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-14	1	18.8	16.0	2.77	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Lawrence Funderburke	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.31	-20	-7	-13	15.9	17.0	-1.15	15.7	14.7	1.00
Terry Dehere	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.30	-23	-4	-19	16.4	16.0	0.47	15.9	14.2	1.61
Corliss Williamson	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.25	-22	-5	-17	17.3	14.9	2.34	14.9	16.1	-1.26
Olden Polynice	50	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-8	-11	16.8	15.6	1.19	15.4	15.3	0.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	6	15	15.6	15.0	0.63	17.2	14.8	2.37
Chris Mills	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	3	21	15.9	13.4	2.45	15.8	17.8	-1.92
Patrick Ewing	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	12	3	15.7	15.0	0.67	17.4	15.0	2.35
John Starks	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	12	3	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.0	17.4	-2.40
Chris Childs	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	6	15	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.5	18.1	-2.68
Allan Houston	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	12	3	15.0	15.8	-0.87	17.4	14.9	2.47
Charlie Ward	28	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	21	-15	15.4	15.3	0.10	18.1	15.5	2.68
Chris Dudley	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.25	14	13	1	14.8	16.0	-1.22	15.1	17.5	-2.44
Larry Johnson	47	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	23	-19	14.6	16.2	-1.63	15.9	16.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 74, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1	96.1%
TOR 101, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%