NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	74		Excitement	3.5 [1056]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +6.0%
Atlanta Hawks	78		Comeback	1.6 [457]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -11.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	16	60%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	12	57%	-0.01	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	5	75%	0.07	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	7	64%	0.08	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	8	28%	-0.05	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	48%	-0.03	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.0	15.8	25.2	1.5	34.4	132.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.2%

ATL +12.6%

ATL +11.2%

ATL +3.8%

ATL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	18.9	15.5	91.4	95.1	100.9
season	16.4	15.4		99.2	96.0
opponent	15.1	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.3	20.6	17.5	10.5	16.4
ATL	18.6	19.4	17.6	20.0	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-17	30	14.6	18.1	-3.47	20.7	17.3	3.39
Lavor Postell	18	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-4	4	13.6	17.2	-3.63	14.8	20.3	-5.47
Felton Spencer	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	1	-6	16.6	16.4	0.23	16.4	19.1	-2.70
Erick Strickland	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-10	16	15.1	17.3	-2.18	21.4	17.2	4.12
Travis Knight	17	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	6	-16	20.3	15.3	4.95	17.1	19.4	-2.25
Chris Childs	47	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	3	-10	16.8	15.9	0.91	17.7	20.8	-3.07
Glen Rice	58	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-8	12	15.7	18.0	-2.32	18.6	19.9	-1.33
Larry Johnson	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	10	-24	18.9	11.9	6.99	18.1	20.3	-2.20
Allan Houston	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	16.1	19.1	-3.04	19.2	16.6	2.56
Latrell Sprewell	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	16.5	15.9	0.57	20.2	15.4	4.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-10	24	17.7	21.8	-4.17	17.2	14.6	2.58
Alan Henderson	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	2	0	19.7	17.1	2.62	16.8	15.5	1.25
Matt Maloney	52	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	3	-2	20.0	17.0	3.01	16.3	16.6	-0.29
Dikembe Mutombo	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	1	2	20.0	17.7	2.30	17.4	15.1	2.34
Larry Robinson	48	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	18.9	19.0	-0.05	15.0	18.3	-3.34
DerMarr Johnson	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	-2	8	19.6	18.4	1.19	17.6	15.3	2.33
Lorenzen Wright	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	3	-2	18.6	19.3	-0.67	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Hanno Mottola	21	20	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-1	6	16.5	19.8	-3.25	14.9	16.9	-1.90
Jason Terry	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	17.3	20.0	-2.69	15.9	16.7	-0.84
Chris Crawford	10	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	20.9	18.7	2.23	21.1	15.6	5.45
Anthony Johnson	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	13	-22	18.7	19.0	-0.31	8.4	17.3	-8.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 78, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 74, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
POR 71, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%