NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	2.8 [1165]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +13.0%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.2 [792]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -10.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Corey Beck	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	24	56%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	72%	0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	9	11%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	26.4	15.7	25.0	1.8	24.2	118.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.7%

CHI +7.5%

CHI +6.6%

CHH -0.9%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.6	100.0	114.1	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.9	16.1	19.1	11.6	15.2
CHI	15.8	15.2	16.1	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-19	25	14.6	15.5	-0.95	14.0	17.0	-2.93
Tony Farmer	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	10.4	15.9	-5.53	14.2	16.4	-2.20
Corey Beck	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	13.4	15.7	-2.34	15.4	16.2	-0.79
J.R. Reid	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-15	17	14.0	16.2	-2.13	16.1	16.1	0.04
Vlade Divac	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-7	1	16.5	13.6	2.88	16.3	15.8	0.58
Dell Curry	36	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.0	15.4	-0.33	17.0	15.5	1.45
Matt Geiger	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	13.6	16.5	-2.88	15.8	16.3	-0.58
Anthony Mason	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	2	-17	16.2	14.0	2.13	16.1	16.1	-0.04
Bobby Phills	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.6	12.7	3.94	15.7	16.7	-1.02
David Wesley	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	4	-21	15.1	15.4	-0.31	16.8	14.8	2.01
Glen Rice	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	5	-23	15.8	13.7	2.13	16.6	14.6	2.08

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	57	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-8	29	16.0	16.2	-0.20	16.7	12.5	4.23
Michael Jordan	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	-4	21	16.6	14.1	2.55	15.3	14.8	0.49
Luc Longley	57	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	0	13	16.3	15.7	0.68	16.7	12.7	3.99
Ron Harper	52	53	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	16.7	15.3	1.33	17.4	12.3	5.07
Dennis Rodman	41	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	4	5	16.3	15.9	0.35	16.8	13.9	2.91
Randy Brown	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	10	-7	15.5	16.8	-1.26	13.4	17.3	-3.98
Scott Burrell	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	13	-13	16.2	15.9	0.30	13.3	16.7	-3.37
Joe Kleine	25	24	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	11	-9	16.9	15.8	1.10	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Jud Buechler	22	21	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	15	-17	13.6	16.9	-3.27	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Jason Caffey	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	19	-25	16.2	16.0	0.22	11.6	17.0	-5.38
Keith Booth	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	12.6	16.5	-3.90	7.9	16.0	-8.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 103, DAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SEA 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAC 83, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%