NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	3.0 [1131]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +14.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	118		Comeback	1.0 [922]		LVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): -11.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	85%	0.08	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	41%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	56%	0.01	3	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	61%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Brent Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	31%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	6	23%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.02	-0.06	12	65%	0.14	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	67%	0.08	4	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	9	79%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.04
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	18	67%	0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	5	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	56.1	1.8	28.7	16.0	27.3	1.6	27.5	158.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +22.2%

SEA +9.2%

HOU -7.6%

SEA +25.6%

SEA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	16.3	12.2	15.6	93.1	116.8	102.5
season	15.7	15.3		104.5	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.2		102.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	17.2	17.5	14.0	16.3
SEA	12.5	11.0	12.5	12.7	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	28	27	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	14.3	17.1	-2.82	14.9	11.2	3.64
Othella Harrington	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	12.6	16.7	-4.14	13.8	12.0	1.75
Emanual Davis	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-22	20	13.6	17.4	-3.80	11.9	12.3	-0.36
Rodrick Rhodes	38	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-19	14	14.2	17.6	-3.35	12.6	12.0	0.60
Brent Price	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-19	14	15.8	16.7	-0.97	14.4	10.6	3.80
Kevin Willis	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-21	18	14.7	18.2	-3.57	13.1	11.1	2.02
Eddie Johnson	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-15	6	16.4	16.3	0.11	12.0	12.4	-0.38
Mario Elie	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	-8	-8	17.5	15.3	2.17	11.5	12.8	-1.23
Matt Maloney	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-6	-12	19.1	15.1	4.00	8.7	13.7	-5.02
Charles Barkley	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-6	-12	17.3	15.0	2.31	12.4	11.8	0.61
Clyde Drexler	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-4	-16	17.0	15.6	1.34	11.6	12.8	-1.15
Hakeem Olajuwon	66	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	-5	-14	18.2	12.7	5.53	11.0	14.3	-3.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.33	29	-5	34	11.9	13.2	-1.34	17.2	13.4	3.87
Detlef Schrempf	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	0	24	11.5	13.3	-1.81	17.8	13.9	3.90
Vin Baker	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	6	12	11.6	13.4	-1.89	17.4	14.2	3.15
Hersey Hawkins	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	3	18	11.9	12.5	-0.55	17.8	14.9	2.92
Aaron Williams	48	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.27	17	7	10	11.7	12.6	-0.83	17.9	15.0	2.93
Jerome Kersey	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	19	-14	12.4	12.1	0.32	15.1	17.1	-1.95
Dale Ellis	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	21	-18	11.8	12.4	-0.61	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Sam Perkins	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	21	-18	14.0	10.4	3.55	15.1	17.5	-2.47
Jim McIlvaine	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	23	-22	12.8	12.0	0.87	13.3	17.4	-4.12
Eric Snow	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	13.8	12.0	1.75	12.6	16.7	-4.14
David Wingate	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	13.8	12.0	1.75	12.6	16.7	-4.14
Greg Anthony	23	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	31	-38	13.0	12.0	0.99	13.4	17.2	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 81, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
IND 91, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 93, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%