inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 113 Excitement7.2 [377] MVPGreg Foster (UTA): +15.1%
Sacramento Kings 109 Comeback2.3 [691] LVPCorliss Williamson (SAC): -23.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Foster0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.150.070.08-0.00583%0.1500.002100%0.07
John Stockton0.150,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.150.070.080.01977%0.272-0.134100%0.06
Antoine Carr0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.03-0.031050%0.0600.004100%0.02
Howard Eisley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.01762%0.0500.002100%0.01
Chris Morris0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00560%0.0400.00580%0.01
Shandon Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001254%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Stephen Howard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00362%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Bryon Russell0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Adam Keefe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.011260%0.004-0.09667%0.05

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.10.100.22-0.100.031683%0.271-0.17978%0.01
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.09,0.080.08-0.040.11-0.02553%0.111-0.03967%0.02
Olden Polynice0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.020.021168%0.062-0.06683%0.01
Lionel Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00360%0.031-0.034100%0.05
Kevin Salvadori0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Grayer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.030.00387%0.042-0.0620%-0.05
Bobby Hurley0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02845%-0.033-0.04475%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.00559%-0.061-0.041275%-0.11
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24-0.24-0.12-0.13-0.01736%-0.221-0.011145%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.10.725.016.428.52.340.5140.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +16.2%
UTA +20.3%
SAC -3.1%
UTA +18.9%
SAC -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASACNBAUTASACNBA
this game14.517.715.6125.6122.5104.4
season15.615.4110.8102.4
opponent15.416.0106.0102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA13.317.613.513.914.5
SAC18.019.417.216.717.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone55540.73-0.230.960.4310-61613.216.6-3.4117.518.0-0.48
Greg Foster26240.54-0.040.590.376-2814.614.50.1220.616.63.99
Chris Morris38370.400.100.300.0512-82015.713.62.0719.416.52.81
Jeff Hornacek44440.340.160.180.3404-414.214.8-0.5616.618.8-2.16
John Stockton56560.300.200.090.47-610-1615.213.22.0118.316.61.70
Shandon Anderson58570.280.220.060.2513-214.714.20.4718.117.10.96
Howard Eisley34330.200.30-0.09-0.0910-61613.215.2-2.0116.618.3-1.70
Stephen Howard14130.120.38-0.25-0.056-2817.014.02.9718.817.51.24
Adam Keefe17170.020.48-0.460.11-37-1013.514.7-1.1815.518.2-2.77
Bryon Russell2323-0.040.54-0.580.02-26-813.314.9-1.5318.017.60.34
Greg Ostertag4042-0.170.67-0.830.04-711-1813.615.2-1.5116.518.8-2.38
Antoine Carr4545-0.230.73-0.96-0.02-711-1816.013.03.0717.218.2-0.94

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lionel Simmons35350.35-0.851.200.263-71019.016.92.0815.913.62.33
Jeff Grayer29300.10-0.600.690.042-6818.117.50.5416.813.33.42
Kevin Salvadori4040-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-5618.517.01.4815.213.91.32
Bobby Hurley5151-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-51-617.018.7-1.6613.515.8-2.26
Tyus Edney3839-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.281-5618.717.01.6615.813.52.26
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf7777-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.38-3-1-217.121.9-4.8613.818.5-4.64
Olden Polynice6060-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-40-417.717.8-0.0813.815.9-2.12
Michael Smith6163-0.550.05-0.60-0.32-84-1217.917.40.4614.414.6-0.20
Corliss Williamson5455-0.850.35-1.20-0.64-73-1016.919.0-2.0813.615.9-2.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 93, ATL 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.41,093.1%
MIN 87, NOH 800.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.39,0.47,0.3,0.43,0.16,092.1%
HOU 100, LAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.45,0.43,0.42,091.5%