NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	8.7 [160]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +18.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	2.5 [305]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -33.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.00	14	53%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.18	-0.03	0.00	16	68%	0.24	3	-0.09	18	94%	0.06
Joey Dorsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	61%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15	0.01	-0.14	0.02	15	58%	0.10	4	-0.24	3	100%	0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	15	26%	-0.22	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	12	76%	0.22	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.08
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	15	47%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	3	36%	-0.06	4	-0.10	8	12%	-0.10
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	21	46%	-0.07	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.34	-0.34	-0.08	-0.26	-0.01	10	48%	-0.04	5	-0.30	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.6	35.4	16.5	32.5	3.3	39.3	161.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -26.6%

HOU +27.5%

HOU +17.3%

HOU +28.9%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.0	15.1	98.0	95.1	104.2
season	14.3	14.6		105.6	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	14.8	14.6	17.1	15.1
LAC	13.3	12.9	13.6	12.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	66	69	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-12	26	15.8	13.8	1.97	13.0	13.1	-0.04
James Harden	84	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-5	12	15.2	14.7	0.50	13.2	12.3	0.91
Donatas Motiejunas	91	92	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-3	8	15.1	15.0	0.09	13.3	10.5	2.78
Trevor Ariza	83	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	15.6	12.9	2.62	12.9	13.7	-0.87
Terrence Jones	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	4	-6	16.4	12.7	3.73	13.5	12.1	1.37
Joey Dorsey	5	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	13.6	15.2	-1.55	10.2	13.2	-3.04
Corey Brewer	37	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	5	-8	13.8	15.8	-2.03	13.0	13.0	-0.00
Josh Smith	41	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	6	-10	13.4	16.2	-2.82	12.2	13.5	-1.27
Jason Terry	37	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	13	-24	13.5	16.0	-2.41	12.7	13.2	-0.43

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-9	16	13.5	12.8	0.70	15.4	14.9	0.45
Nate Robinson	23	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-5	8	12.4	13.2	-0.82	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Austin Rivers	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-4	6	13.3	12.9	0.38	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Spencer Hawes	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	17.2	12.7	4.58	10.9	15.5	-4.59
JJ Redick	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	13.1	12.7	0.44	15.6	13.2	2.40
Jordan Hamilton	24	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	12	-26	13.4	12.9	0.51	13.8	15.5	-1.69
Matt Barnes	76	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	13.0	13.1	-0.11	15.3	14.4	0.91
DeAndre Jordan	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	13.0	13.0	-0.01	15.1	14.9	0.21
Chris Paul	77	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	3	-8	12.6	14.2	-1.50	15.5	13.7	1.81
Blake Griffin	88	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	12.7	14.9	-2.23	15.5	13.2	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.45,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.17,0	91.6%
UTA 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.42,0	91.5%
MIL 90, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.15,0	91.4%