NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	3.4 [1077]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (MIL): +12.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Comeback	2.0 [777]		LVP	Aaron Williams (VAN): -7.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	13	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	17	61%	0.08	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Chucky Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	18	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.09	10	85%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Leckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	14	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	53%	0.01	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	24.3	15.8	29.1	1.7	31.0	125.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.1%

MIL +17.8%

MIL +6.0%

MIL +13.0%

VAN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	VAN	NBA	MIL	VAN	NBA
this game	15.7	18.2	15.6	120.0	107.1	104.4
season	16.0	16.3		103.9	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.5	16.9	12.7	17.0	15.7
VAN	17.8	18.1	18.6	18.1	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-4	19	15.9	14.6	1.30	18.4	16.4	1.92
Glenn Robinson	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-1	13	16.3	12.6	3.68	18.2	17.9	0.37
Vin Baker	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	16.0	12.7	3.28	18.4	16.0	2.39
Andrew Lang	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	0	11	16.0	15.2	0.75	17.9	18.6	-0.68
Ray Allen	55	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	5	1	14.6	17.8	-3.17	17.7	18.9	-1.24
Johnny Newman	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	9	-7	16.5	15.1	1.31	18.4	18.0	0.37
Armen Gilliam	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	14.7	16.1	-1.47	18.6	18.0	0.56
Chucky Brown	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	14.6	16.0	-1.47	18.1	18.2	-0.14
Elliot Perry	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	15	-19	14.6	15.9	-1.30	16.4	18.4	-1.92

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-9	7	18.9	18.1	0.75	14.0	15.8	-1.85
Blue Edwards	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	17.7	18.4	-0.67	17.2	15.0	2.15
Eric Leckner	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-6	1	16.2	18.8	-2.61	11.7	17.0	-5.32
Chris Robinson	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-8	5	18.4	18.1	0.29	15.7	15.7	-0.06
Roy Rogers	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-10	9	17.7	18.8	-1.05	17.7	12.6	5.04
Aaron Williams	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	19.9	17.0	2.96	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Pete Chilcutt	50	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	18.4	17.8	0.57	14.8	17.1	-2.24
Anthony Peeler	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	18.2	18.0	0.29	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	18.2	17.9	0.36	15.6	16.4	-0.89
Lee Mayberry	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	18.0	19.5	-1.59	15.9	14.4	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 118, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 122, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%