NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	118		Excitement	4.4 [742]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +33.7%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.8 [287]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.22	0.05	-0.06	16	81%	0.34	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	24	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	14	58%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.12	7	107%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	4	73%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	36%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	29.3	18.4	24.5	2.7	29.2	132.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.5%

DEN +4.8%

PHX -14.8%

DEN +17.9%

DEN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.6	122.9	112.6	102.8
season	14.5	15.0		107.5	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.8		104.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.4	15.0	13.7	16.1	14.8
PHX	13.9	17.0	15.7	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	74	71	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.07	21	-10	31	15.2	13.4	1.77	15.8	14.2	1.52
Kenneth Faried	54	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.00	23	-12	35	14.7	14.8	-0.11	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Arron Afflalo	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-2	15	14.3	16.7	-2.39	14.9	17.4	-2.54
Kosta Koufos	31	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-5	21	14.2	15.1	-0.90	15.8	15.2	0.55
Ty Lawson	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	4	3	14.3	16.4	-2.06	14.9	17.2	-2.21
Corey Brewer	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	7	-3	16.1	14.2	1.89	17.3	14.5	2.76
Andre Miller	55	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	17	-23	15.2	14.2	0.92	14.9	16.0	-1.05
JaVale McGee	38	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	21	-31	15.1	14.5	0.60	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Al Harrington	47	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.20	-13	24	-37	14.5	15.0	-0.51	15.6	15.2	0.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-13	15	15.2	15.5	-0.33	15.1	14.6	0.59
Michael Redd	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-11	11	16.0	15.0	0.95	16.6	13.7	2.91
Robin Lopez	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-16	21	18.0	14.4	3.65	16.3	14.2	2.16
Josh Childress	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-13	15	16.6	15.2	1.47	17.6	14.2	3.35
Channing Frye	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-10	9	16.0	15.2	0.77	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Sebastian Telfair	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-8	5	15.5	15.3	0.23	16.3	13.8	2.47
Steve Nash	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	15.1	15.9	-0.77	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Marcin Gortat	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	7	-25	15.0	16.0	-1.06	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Hakim Warrick	37	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.0	15.7	-0.68	14.9	14.6	0.30
Shannon Brown	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	15.0	18.5	-3.47	14.3	18.6	-4.37
Jared Dudley	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	14.9	16.4	-1.43	13.9	16.7	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAC 114, NOP 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 125, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%