inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 97 Excitement8.0 [239] MVPDamon Stoudamire (TOR): +35.6%
Toronto Raptors 102 Comeback18.4 [22] LVPDoug Christie (TOR): -20.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.070.10-0.07-0.031573%0.183-0.113100%0.02
Ike Austin0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00775%0.112-0.062100%0.01
Keith Askins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
John Crotty-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00267%0.022-0.062100%0.02
Willie Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.110.00-0.12-0.011159%-0.043-0.0700%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.001635%-0.091-0.04250%-0.03
P.J. Brown-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.09-0.02729%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.200,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.2-0.05-0.16-0.011559%-0.123-0.071644%-0.28

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.360.360.130.22-0.011883%0.557-0.206100%0.03
Sharone Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001152%0.0500.00333%-0.03
Shawn Respert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Slater0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.000.00343%-0.0000.001100%0.01
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Clifford Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01450%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.01637%-0.071-0.024100%0.03
Marcus Camby0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.012249%-0.005-0.143100%0.02
Doug Christie0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21-0.21-0.14-0.060.001150%-0.006-0.211090%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.727.117.426.42.438.4137.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +18.9%
TOR +39.9%
TOR +7.9%
MIA -15.6%
MIA -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game13.316.215.698.0105.2104.4
season15.816.1103.1102.2
opponent15.016.3105.698.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.715.013.312.313.3
TOR14.517.715.517.216.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Austin38380.05-0.550.590.08-1-4313.812.90.8317.215.51.72
John Crotty2324-0.05-0.450.400.16-72-912.313.5-1.2417.515.71.77
Willie Anderson67-0.20-0.300.110.07-94-1319.512.86.6519.715.93.83
Tim Hardaway8885-0.23-0.270.05-0.437-121913.213.5-0.3316.017.2-1.24
P.J. Brown5857-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.394-91313.213.4-0.1915.617.0-1.42
Jamal Mashburn8380-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-81112.516.9-4.4015.419.5-4.08
Keith Askins2525-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-149-2315.312.62.7118.715.33.39
Voshon Lenard8682-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.46-1-4313.014.9-1.9215.619.5-3.91
Alonzo Mourning8887-0.640.14-0.79-0.44-72-913.313.00.2816.116.8-0.71

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Respert35370.93-0.431.350.4317-122917.015.71.3112.913.5-0.62
Doug Christie90920.52-0.020.550.356-1716.315.01.2613.411.91.50
Damon Stoudamire89910.52-0.020.550.4141315.623.0-7.4512.917.0-4.08
Popeye Jones60630.500.000.500.4132116.116.2-0.0813.313.20.13
Carlos Rogers36360.190.31-0.110.0841315.316.7-1.3712.513.7-1.23
Reggie Slater17160.120.38-0.25-0.0250518.915.63.3715.312.92.46
Sharone Wright50500.000.50-0.49-0.0932116.615.70.9814.112.41.67
Marcus Camby7172-0.010.51-0.520.19-712-1916.116.3-0.1413.512.51.01
Clifford Rozier3738-0.280.78-1.060.02-1015-2515.716.5-0.7912.313.8-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 101, LAC 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.84,192.5%
MIN 98, NOH 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,192.3%
MIN 101, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.85,190.7%