NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	8.6 [193]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +30.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	17.9 [82]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -26.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	20	55%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.09	0.04	-0.11	0.03	18	52%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.27	-0.08	-0.18	0.01	13	33%	-0.19	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.09	0.00	19	71%	0.41	1	-0.10	7	86%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.08	-0.03	22	54%	0.25	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.06	0.01	12	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	0.00	7	31%	-0.14	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.6	29.3	15.7	26.2	1.7	37.0	134.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.6%

ORL -8.7%

ORL -4.1%

LAC +21.5%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	14.9	103.1	105.1	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.6	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	14.2	13.5	16.1	14.2
LAC	15.8	15.1	16.5	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	46	45	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.12	10	-12	22	14.4	14.0	0.35	15.5	14.9	0.61
Aaron Gordon	42	40	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.10	7	-9	16	14.9	13.7	1.18	15.4	15.0	0.41
Channing Frye	35	36	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-8	14	13.7	14.5	-0.76	15.9	14.8	1.16
Victor Oladipo	71	71	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.00	6	-8	14	13.8	15.1	-1.30	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Shabazz Napier	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.17	-3	1	-4	16.8	13.5	3.32	15.4	15.1	0.29
Jason Smith	47	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.57	3	-5	8	15.0	13.5	1.49	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Elfrid Payton	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.61	1	-3	4	13.5	16.8	-3.32	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Tobias Harris	57	58	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.54	-9	7	-16	13.5	15.2	-1.79	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Nikola Vucevic	61	63	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.50	-13	11	-24	14.0	14.6	-0.58	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Evan Fournier	33	33	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.37	-18	16	-34	15.0	13.8	1.15	15.8	14.8	1.00

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	77	75	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.59	7	-5	12	15.1	15.5	-0.43	14.3	14.0	0.27
Wesley Johnson	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-10	22	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Blake Griffin	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.53	2	0	2	15.1	15.7	-0.66	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Jamal Crawford	60	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-5	12	15.0	15.4	-0.39	15.0	12.8	2.17
Austin Rivers	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.64	-6	8	-14	15.5	14.7	0.82	14.3	14.0	0.29
Pablo Prigioni	39	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.20	8	-6	14	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Luc Mbah a Moute	25	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	10	-18	14.3	15.5	-1.16	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Paul Pierce	17	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.16	0	2	-2	16.5	14.9	1.63	14.1	14.2	-0.18
Josh Smith	21	22	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.10	-5	7	-12	15.5	15.1	0.43	14.6	14.1	0.56
Lance Stephenson	39	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	9	-16	16.2	14.5	1.70	13.5	14.6	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.36,0.55,0.91,1	92.5%
MIN 98, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	90.7%
MIN 101, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.85,1	90.5%