NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	3.1 [1121]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +14.8%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	1.4 [1189]		LVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): -11.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	5	33%	-0.00	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	8	29%	-0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.05	16	70%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.00	13	83%	0.16	3	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	78%	0.11	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	0.06	10	52%	-0.07	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	25.1	14.8	27.2	0.2	25.0	118.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.6%

LAC -1.6%

DET +7.5%

DET +5.1%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.0	15.6	92.4	121.5	104.4
season	15.8	17.1		102.9	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.1		102.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.8	16.2	15.8	14.8	16.2
DET	12.9	16.5	14.9	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pooh Richardson	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-21	14	14.3	16.6	-2.28	14.8	15.0	-0.27
Terry Dehere	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-21	14	14.3	16.6	-2.28	14.8	15.0	-0.27
Eric Piatkowski	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	-23	18	14.8	16.6	-1.77	15.8	14.7	1.08
Rodney Rogers	28	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-27	26	15.2	16.6	-1.35	16.9	14.0	2.87
Bo Outlaw	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-23	18	16.1	16.3	-0.22	15.6	13.6	2.03
Darrick Martin	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-18	8	16.9	15.0	1.89	15.4	14.4	0.97
Brent Barry	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-22	16	15.7	16.4	-0.71	16.4	14.2	2.18
Lamond Murray	35	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	-10	-8	15.1	16.8	-1.77	14.1	15.6	-1.42
Loy Vaught	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-11	-6	16.6	15.1	1.50	15.1	14.8	0.32
Lorenzen Wright	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.48	-36	8	-44	17.2	13.6	3.57	14.2	17.0	-2.89
Malik Sealy	57	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.22	-28	0	-28	16.8	15.1	1.77	13.3	17.7	-4.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.20	26	2	24	13.8	18.3	-4.51	16.2	16.0	0.20
Grant Hill	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.33	30	-2	32	14.7	15.8	-1.05	17.1	13.6	3.56
Otis Thorpe	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	2	24	15.6	12.4	3.16	16.6	14.2	2.40
Joe Dumars	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.44	30	-2	32	14.5	16.2	-1.62	16.7	14.6	2.13
Aaron McKie	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	19	-10	13.8	15.9	-2.09	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Lindsey Hunter	58	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.31	17	11	6	16.3	12.8	3.56	16.7	15.1	1.58
Litterial Green	28	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	26	-24	13.6	15.6	-1.93	14.4	16.8	-2.46
Jerome Williams	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.19	7	21	-14	15.5	14.8	0.75	14.2	16.9	-2.63
Don Reid	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	30	-32	15.3	15.0	0.36	18.0	16.1	1.89
Grant Long	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	29	-30	18.1	14.6	3.52	16.4	16.1	0.30
Michael Curry	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	32	-36	17.2	14.4	2.79	13.8	16.8	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 75, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 108, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.92,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 83, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%