NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	7.8 [272]		MVP	Wesley Person (PHX): +24.7%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.8 [260]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -18.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.19	0.00	9	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	17	55%	0.14	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.02	0.15	-0.11	0.02	16	79%	0.15	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Horacio Llamas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.10	0.01	31	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	14	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	18	45%	-0.03	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	21.4	16.4	21.4	2.4	36.7	123.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +83.1%

HOU -2.2%

HOU -18.5%

HOU -10.1%

HOU -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	16.4	15.6	109.5	103.1	104.4
season	14.6	15.5		106.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.6		103.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.3	13.0	14.2	15.9	13.7
HOU	14.8	15.8	17.1	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	35	39	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-9	23	13.8	13.7	0.08	16.4	16.4	0.07
Rex Chapman	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	13.6	14.8	-1.21	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Wayman Tisdale	54	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	0	5	13.5	14.1	-0.62	16.4	16.3	0.12
Jason Kidd	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	5	-5	13.7	13.8	-0.03	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Kevin Johnson	85	85	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	5	-5	13.8	13.6	0.16	16.7	14.1	2.60
Danny Manning	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	14.0	13.5	0.53	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Hot Rod Williams	81	79	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.40	-5	10	-15	13.9	12.9	1.04	16.5	15.8	0.77
Horacio Llamas	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	2	1	13.6	13.8	-0.16	15.7	16.5	-0.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sedale Threatt	38	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	16.0	16.6	-0.61	13.7	13.7	0.00
Randy Livingston	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-2	-1	17.5	16.3	1.20	13.8	13.7	0.10
Hakeem Olajuwon	80	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-8	11	16.3	16.7	-0.42	13.9	12.9	1.04
Othella Harrington	41	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	15.5	17.1	-1.63	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Clyde Drexler	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	16.4	16.5	-0.19	13.8	13.7	0.06
Eddie Johnson	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.4	-0.07	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Mario Elie	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-6	7	16.0	17.6	-1.55	14.0	12.9	1.14
Matt Maloney	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	0	-5	17.0	15.6	1.40	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Kevin Willis	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.6	2.37	13.9	13.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.28,0.47,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.09,0	92.6%
CHH 78, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.37,0.29,0.27,0	92.0%
CHH 103, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.09,0	91.9%