NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	6.6 [471]		MVP	Danny Manning (PHX): +18.2%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	2.2 [1114]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -6.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.02	20	62%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.03	0.05	15	79%	0.21	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Will Perdue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Carl Herrera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	13	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.06	0.02	15	72%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	14	67%	0.23	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	8	31%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.02	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	27.5	15.3	21.6	2.4	29.5	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +2.0%

PHX +10.8%

PHX +15.7%

PHX +12.4%

PHX +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	14.8	15.6	117.8	125.6	104.4
season	16.8	14.6		100.8	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.3	19.2	15.4	17.1	17.2
PHX	12.2	15.8	16.6	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	31	29	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-13	19	15.1	18.3	-3.16	15.8	14.3	1.52
Vernon Maxwell	55	57	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-15	23	15.2	20.3	-5.10	15.5	13.6	1.84
Jamie Feick	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	20.8	17.0	3.81	10.5	15.0	-4.50
Carl Herrera	52	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	17.7	16.6	1.07	14.9	14.6	0.36
Will Perdue	54	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-11	15	15.4	19.9	-4.53	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Greg Anderson	39	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	7	-21	20.2	14.9	5.35	14.3	15.2	-0.81
Dominique Wilkins	54	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	19.2	14.2	5.06	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Cory Alexander	89	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	17.2	21.0	-3.84	14.8	16.0	-1.23
Vinny Del Negro	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	7	-21	17.3	16.9	0.39	14.3	16.5	-2.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	60	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-6	19	15.1	14.3	0.80	17.1	17.3	-0.19
Hot Rod Williams	82	81	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	14.8	15.2	-0.49	17.6	13.8	3.80
Kevin Johnson	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	15.3	12.1	3.18	17.2	17.0	0.23
Jason Kidd	47	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-1	9	15.0	14.6	0.37	17.9	16.5	1.33
Wesley Person	33	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	9	-11	14.6	14.9	-0.35	16.4	17.6	-1.23
Cedric Ceballos	53	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	1	5	15.3	14.1	1.17	17.6	16.6	1.03
Steve Nash	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	9	-11	6.0	14.9	-8.90	6.0	17.3	-11.33
Horacio Llamas	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	6.0	14.9	-8.90	6.0	17.3	-11.33
Ben Davis	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	6.0	14.9	-8.90	6.0	17.3	-11.33
Rex Chapman	55	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	14.2	15.8	-1.64	16.8	17.8	-1.00
Wayman Tisdale	40	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	14.5	15.1	-0.59	17.2	17.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.42,0.56,0.57,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%
WAS 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.7%
DAL 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%