NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	6.7 [455]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +23.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.5 [1072]		LVP	Olden Polynice (SAC): -12.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.24	0.07	0.12	-0.05	23	58%	0.26	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Michael Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Tyus Edney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	12	33%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.10	-0.07	0.11	-0.06	15	61%	0.27	7	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	41%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	40%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.06	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	24.1	15.6	25.2	1.8	40.4	133.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.4%

POR +8.2%

POR +8.0%

SAC -4.5%

POR +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	96.7	102.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		102.4	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.7	17.6	15.6	15.2	16.5
POR	14.2	16.7	18.0	13.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	53	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-1	-3	17.0	15.9	1.07	15.7	15.2	0.51
Billy Owens	60	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	15.8	17.9	-2.07	16.0	14.5	1.52
Olden Polynice	68	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	15.8	18.7	-2.92	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	2	-9	15.3	17.9	-2.55	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Lionel Simmons	23	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	18.5	15.8	2.69	13.9	16.0	-2.16
Kevin Gamble	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	18.1	15.6	2.56	16.4	14.9	1.41
Tyus Edney	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	17.9	15.3	2.55	15.7	15.3	0.42
Duane Causwell	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	18.7	15.8	2.92	16.5	15.1	1.41
Mitch Richmond	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	2	-9	15.3	19.9	-4.57	14.6	17.9	-3.27
Corliss Williamson	34	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	16.5	16.6	-0.08	16.1	15.1	1.09

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	18	16	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	-4	13	14.0	15.8	-1.85	16.6	16.5	0.05
Kenny Anderson	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	0	5	15.5	15.4	0.14	16.3	17.9	-1.64
Rasheed Wallace	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-3	11	14.7	17.7	-2.98	16.1	17.8	-1.62
Chris Dudley	39	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	4	-3	16.8	14.5	2.28	17.3	16.0	1.33
Isaiah Rider	33	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	16.7	14.8	1.97	17.8	15.8	1.95
Clifford Robinson	80	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	6	-7	15.0	19.3	-4.30	16.0	20.4	-4.38
Arvydas Sabonis	51	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	1	3	14.5	16.8	-2.28	16.0	17.3	-1.33
Gary Trent	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	7	-9	18.2	14.3	3.92	17.7	16.0	1.65
Rumeal Robinson	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.14	17.9	16.3	1.64
Stacey Augmon	45	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	15.5	15.5	0.02	16.4	16.6	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.88,0.95,0.79,1,0.96,1	92.6%
MIA 97, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	92.3%
LAC 100, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.2%