NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	2.8 [1162]		MVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): +13.0%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	1.0 [1120]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -8.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	19	53%	0.02	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	20	52%	-0.00	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	9	62%	-0.00	5	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	25	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	16	68%	0.06	7	-0.04	12	92%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.17	0.00	-0.10	15	26%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	29.4	15.7	25.0	1.8	36.1	135.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +25.0%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +7.7%

TOR +14.3%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	12.8	14.9	15.6	101.9	111.4	104.4
season	14.7	16.1		101.4	102.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		105.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	12.1	13.8	11.9	12.8
TOR	13.3	16.2	14.4	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	13.2	12.7	0.47	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Lucious Harris	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-9	6	11.1	13.0	-1.86	16.7	14.7	1.94
Doug Overton	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-6	0	16.6	12.3	4.32	17.2	14.7	2.55
Mark Hendrickson	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-5	-2	12.6	12.8	-0.20	12.3	15.6	-3.26
Rex Walters	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	14.2	12.1	2.05	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Scott Williams	46	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-10	8	13.8	12.0	1.82	16.7	13.4	3.30
Mark Davis	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-10	8	12.0	13.7	-1.67	15.0	14.8	0.14
Jerry Stackhouse	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	12.3	14.1	-1.78	15.1	14.4	0.71
Derrick Coleman	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	4	-20	12.9	12.4	0.48	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Clar. Weatherspoon	90	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	12.7	13.3	-0.61	14.9	14.8	0.06
Allen Iverson	92	95	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-6	0	12.3	16.6	-4.32	14.7	17.2	-2.55

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	92	91	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-3	18	14.7	16.5	-1.79	12.5	14.7	-2.14
Marcus Camby	88	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-1	14	14.6	16.6	-2.02	12.1	16.5	-4.41
Damon Stoudamire	95	92	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	14.9	15.0	-0.12	12.8	12.3	0.56
Doug Christie	92	91	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-5	22	14.7	16.5	-1.79	12.9	12.1	0.78
Clifford Rozier	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	-2	16	14.2	15.8	-1.66	13.3	12.1	1.14
Sharone Wright	29	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	12	-12	16.1	14.4	1.67	14.6	12.1	2.41
Shawn Respert	32	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	19	-26	16.1	14.4	1.68	13.5	12.5	0.97
Popeye Jones	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	15	-18	16.0	14.3	1.69	12.3	13.0	-0.69
Oliver Miller	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	10	-8	0.0	14.9	-14.90	0.0	12.9	-12.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 95, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ORL 77, CHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%