NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	2.1 [1278]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +11.8%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.0 [1315]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -6.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	59%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Alex Acker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	7	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Mike Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	11	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.04	16	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.00	17	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	11	70%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.10	4	115%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	69%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	80%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	29.6	16.5	31.3	2.4	27.2	132.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.1%

HOU +0.6%

HOU +8.1%

HOU +0.1%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.5	104.5	123.6	106.4
season	15.7	16.3		100.7	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.7	15.3	18.2	14.5	16.3
HOU	17.4	14.1	16.9	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Acker	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-22	27	14.5	17.0	-2.55	15.8	16.1	-0.34
DeAndre Jordan	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-20	23	16.0	16.4	-0.40	17.8	15.3	2.54
Brian Skinner	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-15	13	14.3	16.6	-2.33	16.8	15.9	0.91
Steve Novak	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-20	23	14.9	17.2	-2.31	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Fred Jones	44	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.22	-16	-1	-15	16.7	16.0	0.68	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Chris Kaman	52	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-2	-13	17.0	15.4	1.65	15.0	17.5	-2.54
Mike Taylor	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-10	3	15.3	18.4	-3.08	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Eric Gordon	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-4	-9	16.9	14.9	2.02	17.1	13.4	3.76
Al Thornton	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	4	-25	17.2	14.0	3.16	16.1	16.0	0.12
Zach Randolph	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	5	-27	16.9	14.8	2.13	16.0	16.3	-0.32

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	64	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-7	31	16.1	15.8	0.29	17.4	13.6	3.83
Luis Scola	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-1	19	16.1	16.0	0.07	17.5	14.2	3.30
Metta World Peace	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	-5	27	16.2	15.7	0.56	16.9	15.1	1.83
Yao Ming	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.24	22	-5	27	16.5	15.3	1.21	17.2	14.9	2.28
Aaron Brooks	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	-2	21	16.7	15.2	1.49	17.3	15.1	2.21
Kyle Lowry	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	19	-21	15.2	16.7	-1.49	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Charles Hayes	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	13	-9	14.1	17.8	-3.69	15.7	16.9	-1.15
Von Wafer	33	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	17	-17	15.3	16.5	-1.18	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Brent Barry	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	25	-33	15.8	16.2	-0.40	14.0	17.2	-3.17
Brian Cook	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	17.9	15.7	2.20	12.4	16.9	-4.51
James White	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	21.7	15.5	6.27	11.7	16.8	-5.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
ATL 90, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 74, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%