NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	9.2 [108]		MVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): +5.7%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.6 [129]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -30.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,-0.01	0.06	-0.08	-0.01	10	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.04	-0.03	19	46%	0.08	5	-0.14	8	100%	0.12
Ron Harper	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	8	11%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Michael Jordan	-0.30	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.3	0.02	-0.29	0.03	34	49%	-0.27	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.12
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	-0.02	22	61%	0.14	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.05	-0.03	11	37%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	17	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.13	-0.07	18	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	26.4	15.4	26.6	2.4	35.9	133.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +56.2%

NJN +0.5%

CHI -3.2%

CHI -5.3%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.6	107.7	107.6	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		110.5	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.1		106.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.3	15.1	14.5	15.0	15.9
NJN	15.0	15.5	15.5	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	28	29	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	16.7	15.5	1.24	16.4	15.2	1.26
Bill Wennington	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	0	-1	15.5	16.0	-0.44	16.0	15.5	0.53
Jason Caffey	30	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-1	1	16.3	15.7	0.61	16.1	15.3	0.73
Jud Buechler	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.36	9	-10	19	14.1	17.1	-3.09	14.4	16.4	-2.08
Steve Kerr	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-8	15	13.9	17.7	-3.76	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Michael Jordan	75	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-6	11	15.8	16.2	-0.36	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Ron Harper	37	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	14	-29	17.5	14.8	2.78	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Luc Longley	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	10	-21	16.7	15.3	1.45	17.0	14.5	2.46
Scottie Pippen	80	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.49	3	-4	7	15.9	15.8	0.08	15.7	14.5	1.18
Dennis Rodman	65	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	4	-9	16.4	14.6	1.84	15.6	15.6	-0.08

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	82	82	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.43	12	-11	23	16.2	10.7	5.48	16.1	14.1	1.97
Kendall Gill	70	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-10	21	15.5	15.9	-0.42	16.0	15.5	0.48
Tony Massenburg	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-13	27	16.9	14.4	2.50	16.2	15.5	0.70
Eric Montross	64	62	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	6	-11	16.1	14.4	1.72	16.0	15.6	0.40
Joe Kleine	28	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	-5	11	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Kerry Kittles	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	11	-21	15.3	15.9	-0.57	15.5	16.3	-0.74
Jim Jackson	68	67	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.39	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Xavier McDaniel	47	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.45	-13	14	-27	14.4	16.9	-2.50	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Kevin Edwards	8	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	10	-19	12.9	15.8	-2.97	17.0	15.8	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.54,0.66,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,1	91.5%
DET 93, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	91.4%
PHI 84, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,1	90.0%