inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 88 Excitement5.4 [714] MVPTyrone Hill (CLE): +9.2%
Sacramento Kings 85 Comeback1.4 [832] LVPMitch Richmond (SAC): -20.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrone Hill0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.000.008100%0.173-0.081100%0.00
Chris Mills0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.01-0.011270%0.122-0.04683%0.02
Danny Ferry0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.001158%0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Mark West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donny Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.03933%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Bobby Phills-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.001048%-0.042-0.02580%-0.04
Bob Sura-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01350%-0.081-0.00850%-0.09
Terrell Brandon-0.110,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.031732%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.022100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jeff Grayer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Gamble00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.011647%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.02862%0.032-0.08560%-0.01
Billy Owens0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01950%-0.014-0.092100%0.01
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.07-0.02443%-0.053-0.11633%-0.06
Olden Polynice0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.01830%-0.104-0.09450%-0.02
Mitch Richmond0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2-0.20-0.01-0.140.062158%-0.045-0.178100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game19.51.828.216.523.72.541.8134.0
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +36.7%
SAC -6.0%
SAC -11.0%
CLE +30.0%
CLE +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLESACNBACLESACNBA
this game17.616.515.6103.5101.2104.4
season17.815.4102.1102.4
opponent15.416.1106.0100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE19.116.019.116.817.6
SAC18.816.016.914.516.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Phills70700.69-0.190.880.3113-102317.120.1-3.0616.914.22.70
Terrell Brandon72710.57-0.070.650.435-2717.617.7-0.1016.615.80.82
Tyrone Hill71690.56-0.060.610.386-3919.29.59.7117.312.54.79
Chris Mills76740.53-0.030.550.414-1518.113.44.6616.416.8-0.38
Danny Ferry53540.490.010.470.287-41116.719.2-2.4816.516.40.05
Vitaly Potapenko39380.120.38-0.260.1203-318.017.30.7216.216.7-0.42
Donny Marshall1112-0.080.58-0.650.01-36-913.218.3-5.0915.216.7-1.42
Mark West12-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-36-917.017.6-0.6216.516.50.04
Bob Sura3230-0.260.76-1.020.15-1417-3116.718.2-1.4314.017.8-3.83

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyus Edney1519-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-81314.117.0-2.8414.818.4-3.57
Jeff Grayer109-0.09-0.410.330.03-41-515.416.6-1.2115.117.9-2.80
Kevin Gamble1413-0.19-0.310.130.05-85-1317.316.30.9914.218.2-3.99
Corliss Williamson4647-0.24-0.260.02-0.426-91515.018.2-3.2417.118.3-1.23
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf6261-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.392-5716.616.00.6318.216.21.96
Billy Owens4749-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-129-2118.114.43.7318.017.10.92
Olden Polynice7575-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.442-5716.615.11.5217.716.90.81
Michael Smith7272-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.28-52-716.615.51.1318.612.06.63
Mitch Richmond7980-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-1-2116.318.4-2.0617.815.22.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 97, UTA 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,094.5%
PHI 111, IND 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.09,0.16,093.8%
ATL 95, LAL 830.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.02,0,093.3%