NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	5.8 [662]		MVP	Chris Webber (PHI): +15.0%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	1.3 [471]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -27.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.03	14	71%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Lee Nailon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	55%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
James Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.02	9	68%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	29	44%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	14	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	15	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	18	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.13	0.06	10	56%	0.01	8	-0.28	7	86%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	30.4	15.7	28.9	2.0	36.0	139.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.7%

IND -2.7%

IND -11.2%

PHI +32.6%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.6	116.8	116.0	104.4
season	15.2	16.0		104.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	16.1	16.2	16.9	16.0
IND	14.0	14.5	15.1	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	16.0	0.0	15.97	14.5	0.0	14.50
Chris Webber	82	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	1	0	15.7	17.9	-2.26	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Andre Iguodala	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.7	13.5	1.26
Steven Hunter	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	1	0	16.1	15.5	0.56	15.1	11.6	3.54
John Salmons	30	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	4	-6	15.1	16.4	-1.32	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Kyle Korver	65	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	1	0	15.6	16.7	-1.12	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Kevin Ollie	16	15	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-3	8	17.1	15.7	1.32	15.7	14.3	1.39
Lee Nailon	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	1	0	16.6	15.8	0.79	14.3	14.5	-0.28
James Thomas	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	1	0	17.7	15.7	2.05	11.9	14.9	-3.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	2	-6	19.0	14.3	4.70	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Sarunas Jasikevicius	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	13.2	14.8	-1.68	16.7	15.8	0.96
Jonathan Bender	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	8	-18	13.2	15.0	-1.83	16.3	15.8	0.48
Danny Granger	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.18	-12	10	-22	13.5	14.8	-1.21	16.6	15.8	0.86
Stephen Jackson	59	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.55	12	-14	26	14.1	15.2	-1.12	17.0	14.1	2.88
Anthony Johnson	29	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	2	-6	14.9	14.3	0.57	14.5	16.6	-2.08
Jermaine O'Neal	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.55	10	-12	22	15.1	13.3	1.85	16.4	15.2	1.20
Fred Jones	24	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	13	-28	14.5	14.5	-0.00	16.9	15.6	1.27
Metta World Peace	80	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.53	8	-10	18	14.3	15.9	-1.59	15.4	19.4	-3.97
Jamaal Tinsley	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	14.8	13.7	1.06	15.4	17.6	-2.21
Austin Croshere	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.59	7	-9	16	14.9	12.3	2.66	15.7	17.1	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.2%
LAL 111, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0	94.0%
UTA 93, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.9%