NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	5.7 [645]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +17.9%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.2 [1205]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -10.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	79%	0.16	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	19	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	87%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sharone Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	17	39%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.11	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.09,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.02	24	58%	0.23	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	86%	0.17	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	89%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	78%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	60.0	2.0	26.1	15.4	24.4	2.0	36.0	166.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.3%

UTA +16.0%

TOR -22.3%

UTA +22.4%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.6	116.3	120.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		102.2	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.0		102.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.9	15.4	15.5	15.6
UTA	9.3	14.4	16.6	15.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	10.2	15.9	-5.61	11.7	13.8	-2.15
Shawn Respert	39	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-5	6	14.7	16.2	-1.48	12.7	14.4	-1.69
Clifford Rozier	7	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	3	-10	23.1	15.1	8.09	12.9	13.8	-0.96
Popeye Jones	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	15.9	15.4	0.58	14.5	13.1	1.37
Oliver Miller	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	6	-16	15.7	15.6	0.17	14.6	13.3	1.27
Marcus Camby	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	15.7	15.5	0.23	12.4	15.0	-2.58
Carlos Rogers	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	16.0	15.3	0.69	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Walt Williams	91	90	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-8	12	15.1	23.1	-8.09	13.8	12.9	0.96
Doug Christie	89	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.5	16.7	-1.14	14.1	10.8	3.28
Damon Stoudamire	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	6	-16	15.9	14.2	1.76	14.1	11.9	2.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-5	14	15.0	11.3	3.70	16.0	15.0	0.92
Bryon Russell	53	54	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	12.5	15.3	-2.84	16.0	15.2	0.74
John Stockton	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	14.9	10.5	4.38	16.2	14.2	1.96
Karl Malone	85	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	5	-6	13.6	14.8	-1.17	15.2	18.7	-3.53
Greg Ostertag	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	4	-4	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Greg Foster	13	13	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	14.8	13.6	1.17	18.7	15.2	3.53
Howard Eisley	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	1	2	10.5	14.9	-4.38	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Chris Morris	53	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	5	-6	15.0	12.2	2.79	15.2	16.1	-0.84
Antoine Carr	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	0	4	13.5	13.9	-0.45	16.8	14.8	2.06
Shandon Anderson	33	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	11.3	15.0	-3.70	15.0	16.0	-0.92
Stephen Howard	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	18.5	13.6	4.95	11.5	15.8	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	94.8%
MIL 95, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 119, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.77,0.79,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	93.8%