NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	6.3 [518]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +17.1%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.1 [1082]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -17.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	12	67%	0.01	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	14	34%	-0.12	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	13	36%	0.01	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.07
Kenny Anderson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	17	37%	-0.07	5	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	13	77%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	15	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	17	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	44%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	14	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	7	25%	-0.10	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	23.2	16.6	28.5	2.0	29.0	126.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.7%

ORL +2.6%

POR -10.6%

ORL +10.0%

POR -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.6	94.4	106.7	104.4
season	15.5	16.4		105.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	16.0	14.3	18.2	16.2
ORL	13.8	16.7	16.2	18.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-20	29	16.3	16.0	0.33	17.0	15.4	1.59
Stacey Augmon	29	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-15	19	17.7	15.4	2.32	17.3	15.7	1.62
Marcus Brown	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-12	13	19.4	15.2	4.18	18.1	15.6	2.51
Gary Trent	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-13	15	17.5	15.5	2.01	17.4	15.7	1.68
Arvydas Sabonis	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	4	-19	15.6	16.6	-0.92	15.4	16.9	-1.46
Isaiah Rider	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	4	-19	15.6	17.9	-2.33	15.9	17.2	-1.36
Kenny Anderson	69	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	15.2	19.4	-4.18	15.6	18.1	-2.51
Clifford Robinson	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	4	-19	16.3	14.9	1.42	16.4	15.0	1.39
Rasheed Wallace	72	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	3	-17	15.5	18.9	-3.37	15.4	20.1	-4.65

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	75	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-7	25	16.0	17.1	-1.12	16.4	15.0	1.39
Dennis Scott	67	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-7	25	15.6	17.9	-2.27	16.0	16.5	-0.41
Anfernee Hardaway	66	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-4	19	16.0	16.7	-0.61	16.8	14.3	2.50
Nick Anderson	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	1	9	16.3	15.8	0.54	16.6	14.1	2.52
Derek Strong	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	4	3	16.8	15.4	1.46	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Gerald Wilkins	32	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	9	-7	16.3	16.1	0.22	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Rony Seikaly	51	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	14	-17	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Brian Shaw	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	23	-35	17.4	15.6	1.81	14.1	17.1	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 76, UTA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.0%
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
NJN 106, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	93.2%