NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	8.0 [231]		MVP	Elliot Perry (MIL): +19.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	2.1 [851]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -54.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	18	66%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Reggie Slater	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.10
Clifford Rozier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.55	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.18,-0.35,-0.44,-0.55	-0.18	-0.37	-0.01	19	30%	-0.50	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.00	10	80%	0.27	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.08,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.14	-0.01	16	59%	0.23	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.12	-0.20	-0.01	14	40%	-0.11	4	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	26.2	15.4	25.4	2.5	36.5	133.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +69.2%

TOR -0.7%

TOR -2.2%

TOR -18.5%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.8	15.6	103.2	108.6	104.4
season	16.1	16.0		102.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.0	16.2	15.2	16.0	16.1
MIL	12.8	13.9	16.1	16.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Rozier	40	39	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.15	6	-11	17	16.5	15.9	0.59	15.6	14.2	1.40
Doug Christie	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-9	13	16.4	15.6	0.82	15.1	14.1	0.99
Reggie Slater	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.4	-0.97	11.4	16.0	-4.65
Sharone Wright	14	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	0	-5	15.3	16.3	-1.01	14.9	14.8	0.10
Walt Williams	84	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	16.0	17.2	-1.20	15.1	11.5	3.64
Popeye Jones	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-9	13	16.5	14.9	1.66	16.1	10.3	5.70
Hubert Davis	31	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	4	-13	16.7	15.8	0.90	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Damon Stoudamire	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	16.1	16.3	-0.19	14.5	16.3	-1.87
Carlos Rogers	58	58	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	7	-19	15.6	17.1	-1.52	14.4	15.5	-1.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	65	64	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.36	12	-7	19	15.1	14.2	0.88	16.1	16.3	-0.25
Vin Baker	73	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	15.3	13.2	2.01	16.3	15.4	0.89
Elliot Perry	55	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	15.1	14.4	0.73	15.1	17.7	-2.63
Ray Allen	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	-1	7	13.4	16.9	-3.54	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Armen Gilliam	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	15.3	13.5	1.85	16.3	15.5	0.81
Chucky Brown	23	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	1	3	12.6	15.6	-2.95	16.3	16.1	0.19
Joe Wolf	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	14.2	15.0	-0.82	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Sherman Douglas	38	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	2	1	14.4	15.1	-0.73	17.7	15.1	2.63
Glenn Robinson	66	65	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	13	-21	15.8	12.5	3.25	16.3	15.9	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.64,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.45,0.68,0.72,1	91.5%
IND 98, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	90.9%
ORL 100, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	90.5%