NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	7.4 [339]		MVP	Clifford Rozier (TOR): +22.2%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	2.9 [301]		LVP	Bobby Phills (CLE): -25.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.21	0.05	0.14	-0.02	13	54%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	18	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	82%	0.12	5	-0.18	11	73%	0.06
Mark West	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	11	56%	-0.02	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	7	50%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.07
Bobby Phills	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.21	-0.06	-0.01	13	8%	-0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.00	12	56%	0.22	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	11	58%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	16	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	33%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	15	49%	-0.01	4	-0.11	9	100%	0.04
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	4	31%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.7	26.3	15.6	25.2	2.7	38.2	138.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +26.2%

CLE -5.1%

TOR +15.3%

TOR +12.7%

TOR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	17.8	17.4	15.6	102.4	108.5	104.4
season	17.8	16.1		102.1	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.1		105.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	16.5	23.2	15.3	17.8
TOR	17.9	15.6	19.1	17.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Geary	1	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	3.0	17.9	-14.94	7.5	17.6	-10.11
Vitaly Potapenko	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	0	-5	20.6	17.2	3.39	15.6	17.7	-2.16
Terrell Brandon	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-8	11	18.0	17.4	0.56	18.1	16.2	1.93
Chris Mills	59	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-7	9	18.1	17.0	1.11	18.0	15.6	2.43
Donny Marshall	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	16.6	18.4	-1.74	15.8	18.1	-2.37
Mark West	22	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	1	-7	19.1	17.2	1.89	18.6	17.0	1.63
Tyrone Hill	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-8	11	17.2	20.4	-3.14	17.0	19.3	-2.31
Bobby Phills	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	4	-13	18.2	17.0	1.17	16.3	19.3	-2.96
Danny Ferry	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	17.2	19.3	-2.07	18.1	15.4	2.67
Bob Sura	56	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	3	-11	17.7	17.9	-0.24	17.8	16.5	1.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	68	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	16.5	21.6	-5.07	17.9	17.2	0.69
Popeye Jones	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	17.1	19.0	-1.89	17.2	21.6	-4.48
Marcus Camby	68	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	3	-1	17.2	18.4	-1.20	17.8	17.4	0.47
Clifford Rozier	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	17.1	19.3	-2.20	18.4	13.5	4.97
Damon Stoudamire	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	5	-5	17.8	13.0	4.77	17.2	23.0	-5.81
Reggie Slater	29	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.10	1	4	-3	19.1	16.4	2.69	17.8	17.7	0.03
John Long	27	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	7	-9	18.4	16.8	1.61	18.6	17.3	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.82,1	92.8%
DEN 111, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.48,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	92.3%
NJN 94, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	92.3%