NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	99		Excitement	1.9 [1239]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +7.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	129		Comeback	1.0 [1136]		LVP	Harvey Grant (WAS): -6.9%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	19	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	40%	-0.03	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	14	62%	0.01	4	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	16	41%	-0.03	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.04	7	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	-0.08	11	61%	0.07	3	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	10	82%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	59%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	9	79%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	17	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	48%	-0.01	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.00	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	1.8	26.6	17.3	25.4	1.8	24.0	127.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.1%

LAL +14.6%

LAL +5.3%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.7	15.6	95.2	122.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.3		104.3	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		101.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.1	12.7	15.0	14.1	13.9
LAL	12.1	12.2	14.4	16.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	12.1	14.1	-1.93	16.6	13.4	3.21
Ashraf Amaya	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-33	36	11.3	14.1	-2.81	16.3	13.5	2.82
Chris Whitney	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-27	24	13.7	14.1	-0.40	13.6	13.7	-0.20
Tracy Murray	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-28	26	13.3	14.5	-1.19	14.1	13.2	0.92
Gheorghe Muresan	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-20	10	13.8	14.0	-0.22	14.4	13.1	1.38
Jaren Jackson	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-22	14	13.2	14.1	-0.89	11.8	14.1	-2.22
Calbert Cheaney	77	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.49	-28	-2	-26	14.2	13.0	1.17	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Harvey Grant	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-14	-2	14.2	13.7	0.53	14.3	13.1	1.18
Rod Strickland	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.39	-27	-3	-24	14.1	13.7	0.40	13.7	13.6	0.20
Juwan Howard	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	-4	-22	13.8	14.1	-0.29	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Chris Webber	79	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.47	-32	2	-34	14.5	11.9	2.66	13.0	15.9	-2.92

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.48	32	-2	34	12.9	15.1	-2.24	14.6	12.6	1.98
Nick Van Exel	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.42	30	0	30	12.9	14.6	-1.69	14.6	12.9	1.68
Elden Campbell	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.42	29	1	28	12.8	15.3	-2.47	14.2	13.3	0.97
Eddie Jones	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.45	28	2	26	13.2	14.1	-0.92	14.5	13.3	1.19
Robert Horry	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.45	28	2	26	13.2	14.1	-0.92	14.5	13.3	1.19
Kobe Bryant	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	28	-26	14.1	13.2	0.92	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Jerome Kersey	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	28	-26	14.1	13.2	0.92	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Travis Knight	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	28	-26	13.8	13.6	0.23	12.8	14.5	-1.64
Derek Fisher	33	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	31	-32	14.0	13.5	0.54	11.8	14.8	-2.99
Byron Scott	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	30	-30	16.5	12.8	3.63	14.1	13.8	0.29
Sean Rooks	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	33	-36	16.3	13.1	3.16	13.9	13.9	0.04
Joe Kleine	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	16.6	13.4	3.21	12.1	14.1	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 87, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
ORL 64, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
SAC 81, PHX 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%